Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2022-03-17

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-03-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 75 78 20 8 2 0 0
OW 0 32 25 4 6 3 2 0
VODI 0 42 20 6 2 5 3 0
ODI 0 18 18 6 7 3 3 0
CDI 0 13 21 15 17 42 23 0
VCDI 0 119 91 186 194 496 7556 22921
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-03-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 118 30 20 11 4 0 0
OW 0 43 12 10 5 2 2 0
VODI 0 45 3 7 7 3 0 0
ODI 0 36 2 2 5 4 1 0
CDI 0 36 15 9 13 37 89 6
VCDI 0 169 121 187 224 679 8984 21141
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-03-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 244 17 3 0 0 0 0
OW 0 51 7 8 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 39 5 11 7 1 0 0
ODI 0 27 4 8 5 7 1 0
CDI 0 31 13 7 18 40 22 0
VCDI 0 169 142 193 225 874 7018 22884
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-03-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 250 6 1 0 0 0 0
OW 0 57 8 7 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 46 12 8 3 2 0 0
ODI 0 36 14 21 8 4 0 0
CDI 0 34 13 44 70 120 144 3
VCDI 0 272 131 184 319 1382 14082 14799
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 249 6 1 0 0 0 0
OW 0 58 9 7 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 59 11 8 4 2 0 0
ODI 0 31 15 20 7 1 0 0
CDI 0 34 14 43 64 114 129 2
VCDI 0 264 129 186 326 1391 14097 14800

Date: 2022-03-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 201 11 1 0 0 0 0
OW 0 56 15 3 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 71 15 14 2 0 0 0
ODI 0 66 30 57 28 5 3 0
CDI 0 70 31 54 103 114 137 3
VCDI 0 328 122 185 405 1770 14169 14013
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 211 12 1 0 0 0 0
OW 0 52 14 2 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 86 17 15 2 0 0 0
ODI 0 66 28 52 26 5 5 0
CDI 0 70 31 58 108 111 131 6
VCDI 0 307 122 186 402 1773 14173 14010

Date: 2022-03-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 205 35 10 0 0 0 0
OW 0 38 11 27 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 111 48 35 24 3 0 0
ODI 0 45 35 79 96 30 2 0
CDI 0 40 33 66 148 233 157 2
VCDI 0 18 12 61 119 1340 13634 15383
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 160 26 7 0 0 0 0
OW 0 35 9 15 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 39 8 22 10 1 0 0
ODI 0 53 9 28 24 10 1 0
CDI 0 58 11 17 109 105 65 18
VCDI 0 112 111 189 244 1490 13727 15367

Date: 2022-03-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 38 131 33 12 1 0 0
OW 0 5 38 14 10 1 0 0
VODI 0 33 53 13 9 4 0 0
ODI 0 75 35 40 21 10 0 0
CDI 0 67 45 80 80 80 64 7
VCDI 0 98 78 136 275 1966 12199 16331
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 32 105 27 9 1 0 0
OW 0 5 34 13 9 1 0 0
VODI 0 3 35 16 10 4 0 0
ODI 0 6 29 9 13 1 0 0
CDI 0 41 40 12 29 58 29 3
VCDI 0 229 137 239 337 1997 12234 16335

Date: 2022-03-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 87 33 25 20 3 0 0
OW 0 19 17 15 17 0 0 0
VODI 0 31 15 13 13 1 0 0
ODI 0 23 18 12 38 8 0 0
CDI 0 32 16 17 86 80 55 0
VCDI 0 47 61 131 204 1374 9359 20212
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 75 26 17 12 3 0 0
OW 0 24 15 15 13 0 0 0
VODI 0 22 13 14 21 1 0 0
ODI 0 14 12 13 6 1 0 0
CDI 0 24 21 16 27 30 51 0
VCDI 0 80 73 138 299 1431 9363 20212


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