Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2022-03-03

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-02-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 7 145 31 0 0 0 0
OW 0 4 33 27 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 7 34 19 14 0 0 0
ODI 0 12 22 9 13 4 0 0
CDI 0 21 22 8 14 61 5 0
VCDI 0 131 107 136 177 640 12533 17844
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-02-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 109 29 46 4 0 0 0
OW 0 29 11 26 9 0 0 0
VODI 0 24 7 19 7 4 0 0
ODI 0 16 11 11 8 4 0 0
CDI 0 7 23 11 15 24 15 2
VCDI 0 116 169 184 169 671 8095 22207
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-03-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 146 29 35 1 0 0 0
OW 0 22 15 24 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 25 5 16 7 1 0 0
ODI 0 20 4 6 6 4 3 0
CDI 0 24 4 7 8 18 29 14
VCDI 0 164 69 115 167 766 7165 23163
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-03-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 98 33 57 0 0 0 0
OW 0 16 11 28 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 20 5 18 11 3 0 0
ODI 0 16 2 5 12 5 2 0
CDI 0 16 4 6 7 38 60 1
VCDI 0 131 52 121 132 321 6416 24433
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 101 33 59 0 0 0 0
OW 0 14 11 27 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 19 5 17 13 2 0 0
ODI 0 16 1 5 11 5 1 0
CDI 0 16 4 6 8 35 45 1
VCDI 0 131 53 121 131 325 6432 24433

Date: 2022-03-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 73 45 50 6 0 0 0
OW 0 9 13 22 7 0 0 0
VODI 0 21 5 19 12 5 0 0
ODI 0 11 4 11 3 10 10 0
CDI 0 12 3 12 10 15 22 0
VCDI 0 98 49 86 108 245 7245 23841
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 73 46 54 6 0 0 0
OW 0 10 12 23 7 0 0 0
VODI 0 20 5 16 12 7 0 0
ODI 0 11 4 9 4 8 8 0
CDI 0 11 3 12 9 13 21 0
VCDI 0 99 49 86 108 247 7248 23841

Date: 2022-03-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 38 33 56 36 0 0 0
OW 0 3 13 22 17 2 0 0
VODI 0 0 11 24 23 4 1 0
ODI 0 1 8 17 11 7 2 0
CDI 0 3 5 23 22 29 19 0
VCDI 0 5 61 86 81 264 7046 24109
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 37 33 54 42 0 0 0
OW 0 2 7 23 14 2 0 0
VODI 0 2 15 18 19 6 1 0
ODI 0 1 9 18 10 8 2 0
CDI 0 3 6 17 13 30 33 0
VCDI 0 5 61 98 92 260 7032 24109

Date: 2022-03-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 97 36 24 0 0 0 0
OW 0 20 16 20 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 14 11 22 10 2 0 0
ODI 0 10 7 8 7 6 0 0
CDI 0 10 5 15 7 14 15 4
VCDI 0 57 59 67 87 306 4667 26457
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 95 37 20 0 0 0 0
OW 0 22 11 21 5 0 0 0
VODI 0 20 14 22 5 5 0 0
ODI 0 13 9 14 5 9 3 0
CDI 0 14 8 8 7 7 12 24
VCDI 0 44 55 71 91 307 4667 26437

Date: 2022-03-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 75 78 20 8 2 0 0
OW 0 32 25 4 6 3 2 0
VODI 0 42 20 6 2 5 3 0
ODI 0 18 18 6 7 3 3 0
CDI 0 13 21 15 17 42 23 0
VCDI 0 119 91 186 194 496 7556 22921
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 57 75 20 6 2 0 0
OW 0 28 28 3 7 2 4 0
VODI 0 43 15 9 3 6 5 0
ODI 0 30 14 5 8 5 3 0
CDI 0 17 22 2 14 41 47 2
VCDI 0 124 99 198 196 495 7528 22919


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