Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2022-02-10

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-02-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 53543 26118 3143 963 356 108 43 0
OW 53 263 242 417 270 103 43 0
VODI 0 147 130 412 330 162 81 0
ODI 0 66 80 191 399 212 126 0
CDI 0 44 63 159 542 526 387 0
VCDI 0 13 36 212 979 3395 9596 5147
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-02-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 51480 25712 5605 1053 283 109 30 0
OW 53 298 293 276 271 106 35 0
VODI 0 148 248 296 325 146 68 0
ODI 0 55 119 228 260 187 84 0
CDI 0 66 107 194 419 387 214 0
VCDI 0 51 65 267 1047 3682 9420 5413
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-02-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 53195 24721 5040 1030 369 80 17 0
OW 52 357 223 288 254 115 26 0
VODI 0 204 169 234 359 157 41 0
ODI 0 67 124 148 301 240 57 0
CDI 0 43 123 104 483 558 241 0
VCDI 0 9 91 321 1452 3695 8053 6059
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-02-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57840 20430 4655 823 335 128 28 0
OW 60 503 230 298 197 85 33 0
VODI 0 328 156 302 315 117 49 0
ODI 0 125 102 186 301 196 69 0
CDI 0 66 94 207 478 542 212 0
VCDI 0 30 86 365 1625 3115 10979 3410
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57838 20518 4645 833 351 127 22 0
OW 62 477 248 275 196 91 37 0
VODI 0 284 163 311 319 126 50 0
ODI 0 115 90 204 283 208 71 0
CDI 0 64 92 205 500 544 229 0
VCDI 0 24 85 353 1602 3087 10961 3410

Date: 2022-02-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 60395 19882 2486 649 271 100 7 0
OW 52 475 274 356 183 77 18 0
VODI 0 280 187 455 324 124 28 0
ODI 0 99 86 239 391 261 49 0
CDI 0 48 95 279 561 731 245 0
VCDI 0 56 86 317 981 3469 11140 3344
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 60395 19979 2482 681 303 110 9 0
OW 52 477 299 330 177 76 19 0
VODI 0 200 180 459 310 133 33 0
ODI 0 99 80 260 369 280 49 0
CDI 0 37 91 248 583 736 289 0
VCDI 0 48 82 317 969 3427 11088 3344

Date: 2022-02-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56293 23003 3135 689 321 94 21 0
OW 53 210 300 475 212 62 11 0
VODI 0 95 127 579 477 152 14 0
ODI 0 25 59 313 540 328 77 0
CDI 0 7 12 157 587 1175 336 0
VCDI 0 34 35 139 488 3604 9484 5377
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56293 22750 3009 777 444 127 29 0
OW 53 362 283 378 259 109 14 0
VODI 0 137 177 434 391 204 41 0
ODI 0 56 72 243 330 317 77 0
CDI 0 29 75 253 398 824 297 0
VCDI 0 40 52 267 803 3834 9485 5377

Date: 2022-02-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57384 21634 3125 776 305 78 61 0
OW 53 338 230 460 215 61 28 0
VODI 0 171 130 377 433 160 56 0
ODI 0 57 73 229 437 192 116 0
CDI 0 17 41 194 594 559 312 0
VCDI 0 11 34 192 930 3935 9991 5111
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57383 21361 3084 792 424 117 82 0
OW 54 440 180 326 188 118 47 0
VODI 0 237 155 394 379 208 68 0
ODI 0 100 71 228 377 230 109 0
CDI 0 67 66 187 540 514 285 0
VCDI 0 23 77 301 1006 3798 9973 5111

Date: 2022-02-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 53601 24389 3307 1192 400 62 68 0
OW 54 405 201 365 289 76 35 0
VODI 0 214 166 322 470 168 49 0
ODI 0 74 78 206 406 232 95 0
CDI 0 37 110 186 564 691 261 0
VCDI 0 14 54 143 794 3624 10864 4834
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 53601 24205 3256 1217 457 108 89 0
OW 54 428 164 292 232 96 46 0
VODI 0 273 183 269 403 203 78 0
ODI 0 118 100 202 366 224 101 0
CDI 0 80 98 205 531 604 297 0
VCDI 0 29 115 229 934 3618 10761 4834


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