Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2022-01-27

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-01-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57595 23330 4164 704 238 105 91 0
OW 51 269 283 337 196 58 25 0
VODI 0 110 177 312 310 171 46 0
ODI 0 35 102 198 303 292 78 0
CDI 0 13 66 155 438 660 249 0
VCDI 0 2 33 205 583 3022 9049 5045
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-01-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 55035 22204 7256 886 294 132 111 0
OW 61 276 242 426 194 64 36 0
VODI 0 184 159 289 331 144 85 0
ODI 0 90 104 165 376 256 96 0
CDI 0 56 106 177 583 628 204 0
VCDI 0 39 98 353 1179 3283 8947 3951
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-01-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57667 22361 4589 956 227 121 54 0
OW 59 234 310 323 168 33 13 0
VODI 0 93 280 340 349 96 8 0
ODI 0 31 113 288 385 183 38 0
CDI 0 29 48 220 734 738 174 0
VCDI 0 93 230 451 1232 4047 8959 2826
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-01-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61551 20829 1674 795 302 109 92 0
OW 60 292 196 343 187 56 44 0
VODI 0 158 186 319 375 98 86 0
ODI 0 56 95 196 354 180 96 0
CDI 0 37 81 184 504 513 320 0
VCDI 0 215 303 396 1379 3558 9606 3275
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61551 20856 1696 817 316 121 96 0
OW 60 272 166 314 176 45 42 0
VODI 0 141 189 330 371 108 86 0
ODI 0 67 89 195 350 197 96 0
CDI 0 32 87 180 518 517 331 0
VCDI 0 219 308 397 1370 3526 9593 3275

Date: 2022-01-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57613 22902 2951 918 324 106 126 0
OW 61 331 185 328 187 63 57 0
VODI 0 180 158 299 378 120 72 0
ODI 0 46 105 227 384 187 107 0
CDI 0 12 60 221 521 394 216 0
VCDI 0 19 84 629 1293 3484 8353 5399
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57613 22961 2960 958 329 110 132 0
OW 61 282 174 278 198 59 49 0
VODI 0 175 158 298 347 122 77 0
ODI 0 36 108 231 391 200 98 0
CDI 0 19 58 214 540 418 232 0
VCDI 0 17 85 643 1282 3445 8343 5399

Date: 2022-01-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57438 21917 4537 766 195 109 30 0
OW 61 223 258 431 173 49 36 0
VODI 0 84 119 414 443 139 67 0
ODI 0 16 56 200 523 287 88 0
CDI 0 6 12 145 524 646 232 0
VCDI 0 6 1 82 1153 3724 8946 4964
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57438 21715 4460 793 264 161 48 0
OW 61 284 218 301 148 80 52 0
VODI 0 160 155 357 252 116 79 0
ODI 0 59 75 201 348 210 84 0
CDI 0 19 53 159 408 430 153 0
VCDI 0 15 22 227 1591 3957 8983 4964

Date: 2022-02-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 60039 20981 2185 941 321 84 65 0
OW 55 265 215 437 221 70 35 0
VODI 0 141 161 339 377 180 74 0
ODI 0 31 106 183 328 227 131 0
CDI 0 14 41 161 403 560 308 0
VCDI 0 0 8 52 1018 3644 8645 6054
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 60039 20814 2151 992 400 125 100 0
OW 55 286 191 343 174 103 61 0
VODI 0 185 144 322 289 159 91 0
ODI 0 97 73 179 312 188 113 0
CDI 0 38 99 148 379 566 238 0
VCDI 0 12 58 129 1114 3624 8655 6054

Date: 2022-02-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 53543 26118 3143 963 356 108 43 0
OW 53 263 242 417 270 103 43 0
VODI 0 147 130 412 330 162 81 0
ODI 0 66 80 191 399 212 126 0
CDI 0 44 63 159 542 526 387 0
VCDI 0 13 36 212 979 3395 9596 5147
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 53543 25838 3115 1009 417 129 77 0
OW 53 279 169 328 243 101 68 0
VODI 0 194 151 324 293 153 96 0
ODI 0 91 102 204 291 177 104 0
CDI 0 123 47 212 555 446 238 0
VCDI 0 126 110 277 1077 3500 9693 5147


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