Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2022-01-20

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-01-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 27 14 15 2 0 0 0
OW 0 21 16 9 6 0 0 0
VODI 0 13 30 22 4 3 0 0
ODI 0 18 9 11 19 7 0 0
CDI 0 11 16 17 18 38 30 0
VCDI 0 11 19 91 196 670 12329 18390
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-01-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 14 25 18 0 0 0 0
OW 0 10 13 17 6 0 0 0
VODI 0 17 23 20 5 4 0 0
ODI 0 23 27 10 18 5 0 0
CDI 0 24 19 10 30 79 30 15
VCDI 0 34 89 171 178 845 10702 19601
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-01-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 48 22 37 14 0 0 0
OW 0 25 12 27 10 1 0 0
VODI 0 25 16 14 11 1 0 0
ODI 0 15 17 4 5 4 0 0
CDI 0 19 8 7 36 44 42 2
VCDI 0 84 61 183 248 810 11941 18289
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-01-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 41 10 17 21 0 0 0
OW 0 8 2 18 35 1 0 0
VODI 0 11 8 30 21 6 0 0
ODI 0 10 13 15 17 6 2 0
CDI 0 12 15 12 29 58 16 19
VCDI 0 90 40 127 184 677 10022 20489
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 42 10 17 23 0 0 0
OW 0 7 2 14 28 1 0 0
VODI 0 11 8 29 23 6 0 0
ODI 0 10 10 20 21 8 1 0
CDI 0 10 17 10 30 61 17 19
VCDI 0 92 41 129 182 672 10022 20489

Date: 2022-01-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 33 15 12 11 4 0 0
OW 0 9 7 10 21 0 0 0
VODI 0 9 6 19 31 4 0 0
ODI 0 9 5 22 26 1 0 0
CDI 0 10 5 31 6 26 9 0
VCDI 0 43 32 77 134 513 8533 22409
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 35 16 14 13 4 0 0
OW 0 8 7 8 20 0 0 0
VODI 0 8 5 18 29 4 0 0
ODI 0 6 5 21 31 2 0 0
CDI 0 12 5 30 2 32 11 2
VCDI 0 44 32 80 134 506 8531 22407

Date: 2022-01-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 93 103 35 0 0 0 0
OW 0 18 37 31 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 24 42 19 2 0 0 0
ODI 0 17 47 38 16 4 0 0
CDI 0 17 66 65 47 51 18 0
VCDI 0 23 86 113 181 652 10303 19934
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 74 38 13 0 0 0 0
OW 0 15 30 21 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 16 29 38 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 17 31 17 17 4 0 0
CDI 0 20 47 18 38 42 14 0
VCDI 0 50 206 194 191 661 10307 19934

Date: 2022-01-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 216 22 1 0 0 0 0
OW 0 89 17 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 114 21 22 1 0 0 0
ODI 0 74 51 37 58 12 4 0
CDI 0 61 76 61 102 83 49 22
VCDI 0 182 166 249 395 1763 11770 16364
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 178 2 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 86 21 1 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 74 22 22 8 0 0 0
ODI 0 62 23 21 50 10 2 0
CDI 0 57 44 58 89 65 56 3
VCDI 0 279 241 268 409 1783 11765 16383

Date: 2022-01-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 180 19 3 0 0 0 0
OW 0 59 22 15 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 99 5 23 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 92 17 103 64 55 11 0
CDI 0 116 40 116 107 166 205 9
VCDI 0 130 236 404 591 2027 11885 15283
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 157 2 1 0 0 0 0
OW 0 57 25 5 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 79 17 58 6 12 5 0
ODI 0 88 16 76 64 59 13 0
CDI 0 63 22 113 104 138 139 14
VCDI 0 232 257 411 588 2039 11944 15278


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