Validation of sea ice concentration

Bulletin date: 2024-03-21

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-03-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12464 5691 767 406 210 133 5 0
OW 0 83 164 111 107 103 19 0
VODI 0 20 116 116 155 160 46 0
ODI 0 5 47 96 103 190 116 0
CDI 0 5 25 86 123 274 315 33
VCDI 0 2 13 124 191 768 7920 6847
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-03-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11662 6038 1017 498 269 138 19 0
OW 0 32 124 101 106 57 33 0
VODI 0 19 81 151 150 120 91 0
ODI 0 10 31 88 123 108 124 0
CDI 0 6 15 75 120 232 341 3
VCDI 0 0 16 89 294 914 7802 7062
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-03-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12160 5599 998 362 268 131 9 0
OW 0 46 112 108 109 72 33 0
VODI 0 15 81 141 193 112 88 0
ODI 0 6 48 69 124 128 133 2
CDI 0 4 32 63 105 201 355 59
VCDI 0 0 14 75 288 655 6370 8791
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12160 5598 1013 381 279 145 13 0
OW 0 45 95 118 111 69 31 0
VODI 0 19 84 113 173 108 89 0
ODI 0 4 47 78 133 124 138 2
CDI 0 4 39 60 114 216 364 62
VCDI 0 0 7 68 277 637 6353 8788

Date: 2024-03-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12313 5503 561 333 284 310 25 0
OW 0 44 93 68 73 85 39 0
VODI 0 41 62 85 95 159 106 0
ODI 0 17 43 74 73 245 128 2
CDI 0 10 47 59 91 370 313 48
VCDI 0 6 64 104 227 1106 6580 8273
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12313 5474 555 333 277 313 29 0
OW 0 60 97 67 77 80 39 0
VODI 0 56 71 84 96 161 104 0
ODI 0 20 46 78 87 252 135 5
CDI 0 10 53 73 86 336 357 56
VCDI 0 1 48 88 220 1133 6527 8262

Date: 2024-03-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12087 5530 643 295 263 263 179 0
OW 0 48 107 54 51 78 57 0
VODI 0 40 75 64 91 128 148 0
ODI 0 21 55 62 91 166 187 0
CDI 0 26 38 82 125 381 525 0
VCDI 0 11 53 45 81 322 8437 7250
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12087 5513 665 303 266 262 180 0
OW 0 56 98 60 61 79 57 0
VODI 0 47 73 64 93 144 141 0
ODI 0 31 44 65 98 199 208 0
CDI 0 24 51 59 83 271 586 5
VCDI 0 5 40 51 101 383 8361 7245

Date: 2024-03-29:

Best estimate Forecast
...observations not yet available ...observations not yet available


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