Validation of sea ice concentration

Bulletin date: 2023-06-01

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-05-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14814 6101 1191 710 129 28 54 0
OW 0 42 88 202 93 35 36 0
VODI 0 19 51 230 127 109 98 0
ODI 0 9 43 173 223 213 359 0
CDI 0 13 38 198 215 484 1919 5
VCDI 0 4 18 145 89 145 5701 4008
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-05-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14846 6110 1650 743 156 51 58 0
OW 0 12 101 231 137 33 38 0
VODI 0 4 53 265 243 104 98 0
ODI 0 3 22 148 281 492 356 3
CDI 0 3 49 122 173 703 1878 11
VCDI 0 0 19 68 72 141 4700 3982
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-06-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14645 6379 1638 640 311 116 54 0
OW 0 12 103 154 196 102 25 0
VODI 0 10 44 167 204 253 130 4
ODI 0 5 24 90 199 562 461 8
CDI 0 3 65 96 124 444 2114 1
VCDI 0 0 47 88 87 115 4524 3915
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14645 6382 1650 688 348 135 59 0
OW 0 10 91 123 146 103 27 0
VODI 0 10 38 139 213 235 146 3
ODI 0 4 28 97 193 535 419 7
CDI 0 3 72 98 130 468 2135 3
VCDI 0 0 42 90 91 116 4522 3915

Date: 2023-06-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14834 6588 1436 714 357 96 56 0
OW 0 37 110 212 173 64 33 3
VODI 0 14 51 212 325 289 72 7
ODI 0 7 23 105 217 679 556 0
CDI 0 3 46 98 134 359 1832 4
VCDI 0 0 12 18 30 111 4640 3602
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14834 6504 1425 724 416 126 72 0
OW 0 45 84 151 167 118 55 4
VODI 0 34 52 191 211 389 207 6
ODI 0 24 25 98 188 370 440 0
CDI 0 31 50 139 194 429 2031 5
VCDI 0 11 42 56 60 166 4384 3601

Date: 2023-06-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14685 6519 1776 840 402 88 55 0
OW 0 10 69 204 247 118 42 0
VODI 0 5 53 113 269 482 160 5
ODI 0 4 21 103 170 430 679 3
CDI 0 2 34 67 112 384 1852 2
VCDI 0 0 36 51 62 91 4455 3459
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14685 6427 1699 749 444 165 75 0
OW 0 42 71 171 177 185 110 4
VODI 0 30 53 168 223 374 219 1
ODI 0 16 46 102 164 295 498 2
CDI 0 9 66 137 186 468 2056 3
VCDI 0 16 54 51 68 106 4285 3459

Date: 2023-06-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14760 6594 1771 858 423 96 61 0
OW 0 13 117 189 208 183 72 0
VODI 0 8 97 140 231 410 320 0
ODI 0 0 58 98 132 269 579 0
CDI 0 0 29 93 115 353 2012 3
VCDI 0 0 11 34 53 125 4115 3529
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14760 6452 1687 804 458 186 133 0
OW 0 62 92 161 134 177 159 0
VODI 0 50 88 145 200 328 267 0
ODI 0 31 78 98 120 237 575 1
CDI 0 14 104 145 178 371 2100 54
VCDI 0 6 34 59 72 137 3925 3477


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