Validation of sea ice concentration

Bulletin date: 2023-05-25

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-05-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14121 6017 1062 357 186 84 25 0
OW 8 25 82 116 89 75 56 0
VODI 1 17 38 82 129 145 85 0
ODI 2 5 30 47 116 239 220 3
CDI 0 4 18 57 147 397 1963 20
VCDI 0 0 14 50 76 201 7236 4514
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-05-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14593 5994 1153 481 230 73 33 0
OW 0 11 92 125 129 97 44 0
VODI 0 4 65 121 193 175 107 0
ODI 0 0 30 70 185 342 354 1
CDI 0 0 21 37 123 458 2217 6
VCDI 0 0 10 36 54 134 5751 4610
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-05-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14905 6019 1162 554 172 13 53 0
OW 0 27 106 209 90 48 31 0
VODI 0 10 71 186 180 113 75 0
ODI 0 3 43 139 248 264 292 0
CDI 0 3 38 124 244 481 2028 7
VCDI 0 0 15 77 92 151 5814 4072
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14905 6017 1154 575 188 23 53 0
OW 0 29 108 182 78 41 27 0
VODI 0 10 74 186 172 102 74 0
ODI 0 4 45 137 226 271 286 0
CDI 0 2 39 129 261 468 1925 7
VCDI 0 0 15 80 101 165 5928 4072

Date: 2023-05-29:

Best estimate Forecast
...observations not yet available ...observations not yet available

Date: 2023-05-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14708 6234 1761 613 246 80 73 0
OW 0 8 86 194 172 77 34 0
VODI 0 4 35 194 270 178 89 0
ODI 0 1 30 120 264 560 410 2
CDI 0 0 62 92 147 504 1897 5
VCDI 0 0 40 68 69 141 4792 3899
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14708 6153 1567 570 273 103 77 0
OW 0 28 108 115 118 91 31 0
VODI 0 43 85 178 219 203 162 0
ODI 0 14 63 140 236 314 442 2
CDI 0 8 83 136 207 634 1730 5
VCDI 0 1 108 142 115 195 4853 3899

Date: 2023-06-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14381 6492 1753 665 335 124 54 0
OW 0 20 109 130 195 120 24 4
VODI 0 18 65 159 237 276 156 7
ODI 0 13 33 108 190 478 505 6
CDI 0 18 65 85 128 339 2167 0
VCDI 0 0 67 84 84 108 4333 4024
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14381 6404 1649 588 313 165 72 0
OW 0 49 83 101 129 89 55 5
VODI 0 41 106 150 215 265 238 7
ODI 0 23 53 145 212 311 523 5
CDI 0 27 96 130 195 482 1982 0
VCDI 0 17 105 117 105 133 4369 4024


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