Validation of sea ice concentration

Bulletin date: 2023-04-06

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-03-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11961 5862 1227 441 209 149 20 0
OW 0 4 103 120 93 76 47 0
VODI 0 0 57 95 117 117 110 0
ODI 0 0 16 76 135 164 152 0
CDI 0 1 3 75 179 413 385 0
VCDI 0 8 2 99 316 977 11225 3128
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-04-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12197 5955 1202 410 115 58 5 0
OW 0 18 159 136 49 55 12 0
VODI 0 6 81 170 89 105 39 0
ODI 0 0 49 106 130 120 134 0
CDI 0 1 31 111 189 281 380 0
VCDI 0 8 3 49 311 1188 11210 3000
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-04-06:

Best estimate Forecast
...observations not yet available ...observations not yet available

Date: 2023-04-10:

Best estimate Forecast
...observations not yet available ...observations not yet available

Date: 2023-04-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13142 5827 622 470 128 27 19 0
OW 0 87 92 148 91 30 26 0
VODI 0 51 110 167 142 65 70 0
ODI 0 12 57 153 99 116 140 0
CDI 0 4 40 160 177 307 754 0
VCDI 0 10 18 85 254 799 10587 3076
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13142 5718 569 440 138 34 43 0
OW 0 130 85 126 82 35 53 0
VODI 0 90 105 133 101 73 90 0
ODI 0 31 103 160 95 88 177 0
CDI 0 13 74 221 216 279 634 0
VCDI 0 9 3 103 259 835 10599 3076

Date: 2023-04-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13275 5869 622 434 81 40 21 0
OW 0 106 93 181 92 31 35 0
VODI 0 47 91 189 100 68 85 0
ODI 0 19 65 110 102 85 128 0
CDI 0 16 35 128 182 216 872 0
VCDI 0 14 25 83 294 1001 10239 3088
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13275 5751 574 413 99 46 52 0
OW 0 131 94 130 75 46 53 0
VODI 0 98 83 136 82 68 137 0
ODI 0 50 87 146 77 56 169 0
CDI 0 32 82 188 196 189 665 0
VCDI 0 9 11 112 322 1036 10304 3088


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