Validation of sea ice concentration

Bulletin date: 2023-03-30

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-03-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11874 6069 1184 484 256 160 61 0
OW 0 18 62 83 98 117 58 0
VODI 0 20 44 50 118 148 102 10
ODI 0 2 41 25 62 155 136 15
CDI 0 0 41 44 67 280 282 43
VCDI 0 0 9 78 102 503 8884 6374
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-03-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11760 6036 1230 468 245 90 58 0
OW 0 1 86 119 117 61 40 0
VODI 0 0 51 87 128 128 99 0
ODI 0 0 13 48 80 119 166 0
CDI 0 0 7 48 140 315 445 0
VCDI 0 9 2 31 305 1152 11884 2594
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-03-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11736 6051 1243 391 264 146 45 0
OW 0 17 122 75 97 74 64 0
VODI 0 0 79 48 97 123 123 0
ODI 0 0 31 35 74 144 170 0
CDI 0 0 12 66 133 294 497 0
VCDI 0 9 2 58 297 946 11509 3090
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11736 6061 1251 400 272 151 48 0
OW 0 7 109 71 95 66 68 0
VODI 0 0 84 44 92 134 124 0
ODI 0 0 33 39 73 145 165 0
CDI 0 0 11 60 137 298 482 0
VCDI 0 9 1 59 293 933 11521 3090

Date: 2023-04-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11933 5752 1360 621 135 82 26 0
OW 0 5 135 135 70 59 24 0
VODI 0 0 75 156 127 116 39 0
ODI 0 0 36 99 126 168 103 0
CDI 0 0 4 82 186 364 460 0
VCDI 0 9 1 20 218 1083 11227 3126
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11933 5744 1343 632 148 104 36 0
OW 0 13 129 125 71 70 36 0
VODI 0 0 90 114 87 118 77 0
ODI 0 0 40 97 82 105 115 0
CDI 0 0 8 89 187 313 418 0
VCDI 0 9 1 56 287 1162 11197 3126

Date: 2023-04-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12175 5935 1235 300 203 68 34 0
OW 0 3 177 120 70 40 36 0
VODI 0 0 75 130 105 76 74 0
ODI 0 0 52 100 105 146 136 0
CDI 0 0 20 108 151 261 344 0
VCDI 0 9 6 54 237 848 11565 3164
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12175 5929 1191 304 210 81 52 0
OW 0 9 180 86 56 40 63 0
VODI 0 0 111 110 80 66 106 0
ODI 0 0 44 89 78 110 139 0
CDI 0 0 32 122 170 282 383 0
VCDI 0 9 7 101 277 860 11446 3164

Date: 2023-04-07:

Best estimate Forecast
...observations not yet available ...observations not yet available


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