Validation of sea ice concentration

Bulletin date: 2022-01-20

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-01-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12306 5494 2225 533 50 21 28 0
OW 0 0 153 274 58 28 22 0
VODI 0 0 96 327 136 115 39 0
ODI 0 0 22 219 168 139 131 11
CDI 0 0 8 153 127 179 501 92
VCDI 0 0 7 179 205 384 7610 6119
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-01-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13204 5922 647 443 117 26 6 0
OW 0 110 131 178 99 35 29 0
VODI 0 67 146 171 129 83 28 0
ODI 0 17 70 156 138 173 100 4
CDI 0 12 32 107 116 251 344 57
VCDI 0 46 49 235 192 656 8553 5280
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-01-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12974 5969 849 303 114 44 3 0
OW 0 58 196 151 93 73 18 0
VODI 0 18 144 202 166 123 54 0
ODI 0 6 59 128 165 213 89 0
CDI 0 2 34 68 166 260 396 11
VCDI 0 28 75 84 289 672 8747 5115
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12974 5978 885 339 131 65 7 0
OW 0 49 164 128 86 64 15 0
VODI 0 16 139 182 159 119 61 0
ODI 0 7 56 132 162 183 91 0
CDI 0 3 32 66 161 259 350 10
VCDI 0 28 81 89 294 695 8783 5116

Date: 2022-01-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12888 6063 1250 314 106 18 0 0
OW 0 21 214 185 133 40 2 0
VODI 0 0 184 200 225 137 45 0
ODI 0 0 92 201 197 246 117 15
CDI 0 0 59 172 156 253 586 64
VCDI 0 0 92 210 184 801 8117 4572
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12888 6026 1059 207 99 32 0 0
OW 0 36 250 130 105 79 5 0
VODI 0 19 207 223 206 145 64 0
ODI 0 3 104 191 145 209 145 12
CDI 0 0 89 162 138 168 543 63
VCDI 0 0 182 369 308 862 8110 4576

Date: 2022-01-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12744 5932 1348 426 66 14 2 0
OW 0 100 199 222 84 24 8 0
VODI 0 98 188 334 162 76 51 0
ODI 0 35 91 293 132 152 135 4
CDI 0 15 82 265 160 169 540 7
VCDI 0 13 212 551 489 874 8219 3643
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12744 5917 1199 300 48 23 3 0
OW 0 95 230 188 49 44 7 0
VODI 0 67 244 354 183 88 75 0
ODI 0 29 103 264 144 145 172 4
CDI 0 26 64 301 156 153 435 8
VCDI 0 59 280 684 513 856 8263 3642

Date: 2022-01-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12591 5972 1123 435 140 39 4 0
OW 0 53 123 199 110 65 7 0
VODI 0 54 104 245 225 213 32 0
ODI 0 48 43 207 168 280 143 4
CDI 0 33 35 194 204 322 458 6
VCDI 0 49 236 572 533 1077 8728 3085
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12591 5951 964 337 126 48 5 0
OW 0 69 181 155 98 62 5 0
VODI 0 48 160 292 241 244 52 0
ODI 0 38 68 201 153 288 174 4
CDI 0 24 39 173 157 293 399 7
VCDI 0 79 252 694 605 1061 8737 3084


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