Validation of sea ice concentration
Bulletin date: 2021-10-21
Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables
Date: 2021-10-15:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
22352 |
6878 |
1292 |
244 |
171 |
94 |
3 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
17 |
118 |
64 |
52 |
72 |
15 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
8 |
77 |
38 |
35 |
91 |
54 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
35 |
16 |
30 |
52 |
89 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
29 |
13 |
26 |
41 |
278 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
5 |
20 |
28 |
108 |
2704 |
3010 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2021-10-19:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
21437 |
7083 |
1321 |
473 |
194 |
57 |
1 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
11 |
144 |
70 |
67 |
58 |
10 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
0 |
49 |
69 |
68 |
96 |
36 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
14 |
31 |
27 |
94 |
79 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
7 |
16 |
23 |
89 |
256 |
74 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
1 |
27 |
34 |
100 |
2791 |
3252 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2021-10-21:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
21166 |
7102 |
1042 |
745 |
140 |
31 |
4 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
51 |
115 |
150 |
95 |
77 |
17 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
13 |
60 |
65 |
75 |
76 |
23 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
6 |
23 |
37 |
50 |
119 |
63 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
3 |
9 |
25 |
42 |
117 |
227 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
1 |
9 |
34 |
123 |
2931 |
3293 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
21166 |
7090 |
1042 |
750 |
163 |
40 |
4 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
60 |
110 |
136 |
78 |
66 |
13 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
16 |
67 |
74 |
68 |
89 |
24 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
6 |
22 |
37 |
53 |
107 |
63 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
3 |
5 |
25 |
38 |
116 |
222 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
4 |
9 |
36 |
125 |
2939 |
3293 |
|
Date: 2021-10-25:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
21616 |
6218 |
871 |
396 |
155 |
114 |
24 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
80 |
88 |
166 |
83 |
61 |
9 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
7 |
45 |
121 |
239 |
215 |
22 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
8 |
65 |
103 |
322 |
76 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
2 |
36 |
60 |
153 |
216 |
1 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
10 |
33 |
373 |
3945 |
2226 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
21616 |
6148 |
796 |
391 |
225 |
173 |
32 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
135 |
136 |
130 |
115 |
120 |
11 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
21 |
51 |
120 |
162 |
182 |
30 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
1 |
29 |
86 |
55 |
214 |
52 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
2 |
51 |
68 |
128 |
174 |
1 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
16 |
48 |
421 |
3993 |
2226 |
|
Date: 2021-10-27:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
19820 |
7233 |
1147 |
358 |
203 |
151 |
2 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
45 |
141 |
95 |
184 |
125 |
17 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
1 |
59 |
83 |
156 |
241 |
54 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
21 |
29 |
105 |
372 |
165 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
9 |
24 |
68 |
239 |
308 |
1 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
7 |
32 |
289 |
3816 |
2559 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
19820 |
7177 |
1039 |
310 |
200 |
167 |
3 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
91 |
197 |
126 |
236 |
160 |
25 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
10 |
80 |
73 |
124 |
415 |
87 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
1 |
39 |
38 |
77 |
159 |
160 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
14 |
33 |
69 |
189 |
195 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
8 |
16 |
42 |
327 |
3892 |
2560 |
|
Date: 2021-10-29:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
19692 |
7193 |
906 |
421 |
156 |
89 |
2 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
49 |
155 |
154 |
157 |
104 |
8 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
3 |
88 |
123 |
189 |
202 |
75 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
1 |
26 |
42 |
97 |
266 |
187 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
19 |
41 |
76 |
336 |
371 |
5 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
12 |
16 |
32 |
251 |
3154 |
3461 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
19692 |
7105 |
813 |
387 |
168 |
96 |
1 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
107 |
152 |
140 |
141 |
111 |
63 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
23 |
131 |
128 |
194 |
374 |
108 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
6 |
37 |
52 |
62 |
252 |
230 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
3 |
25 |
33 |
67 |
112 |
220 |
13 |
| VCDI |
0 |
2 |
48 |
57 |
75 |
303 |
3175 |
3453 |
|
Generated by /metno/routine/sms/V2/SIvalidation/SIwebPage.sh Fri 05 Nov 2021 02:33:06 AM UTC on arcval