Validation of sea ice concentration

Bulletin date: 2020-01-09

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2020-01-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13892 6387 727 453 170 50 24 0
OW 0 47 133 161 108 53 49 0
VODI 0 16 76 174 101 82 69 0
ODI 0 8 24 147 107 100 79 37
CDI 0 7 6 118 113 141 302 81
VCDI 0 0 8 188 281 764 7566 5310
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-01-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14018 6353 877 502 154 57 46 0
OW 0 61 139 150 61 21 38 0
VODI 0 37 98 203 122 33 71 0
ODI 0 14 59 141 107 62 146 4
CDI 0 7 42 101 72 113 470 50
VCDI 0 2 73 187 168 282 7065 5953
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-01-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14450 6188 987 277 94 21 1 0
OW 0 101 207 151 111 36 20 0
VODI 0 37 163 140 185 128 41 0
ODI 0 15 108 143 123 154 89 5
CDI 0 10 67 122 97 173 315 82
VCDI 0 0 82 197 212 539 6813 5475
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14450 6178 988 294 104 22 3 0
OW 0 107 187 131 105 38 19 0
VODI 0 37 155 144 178 118 45 0
ODI 0 15 109 133 121 162 90 5
CDI 0 13 78 113 98 163 331 81
VCDI 0 1 97 215 216 548 6791 5476

Date: 2020-01-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14035 6314 731 427 230 97 14 0
OW 0 68 124 122 109 78 21 0
VODI 0 38 103 140 145 172 77 0
ODI 0 6 66 60 123 168 185 10
CDI 0 5 51 51 104 142 487 123
VCDI 0 11 23 102 133 242 5049 7973
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14035 6166 638 423 215 89 23 0
OW 0 123 131 83 82 66 25 0
VODI 0 78 106 118 115 119 62 0
ODI 0 37 64 61 109 123 150 9
CDI 0 19 51 55 104 137 379 104
VCDI 0 19 108 162 219 365 5194 7993

Date: 2020-01-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13742 6195 756 387 308 188 19 0
OW 0 31 149 88 103 104 24 0
VODI 0 16 115 88 88 156 66 0
ODI 0 5 71 47 46 189 136 9
CDI 0 0 45 51 45 221 476 86
VCDI 0 0 49 109 89 410 5657 7795
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13742 6096 644 387 276 196 24 0
OW 0 90 146 63 101 92 30 0
VODI 0 34 131 65 89 151 84 0
ODI 0 16 94 47 45 142 158 3
CDI 0 8 67 65 46 192 346 75
VCDI 0 3 103 143 122 495 5736 7812

Date: 2020-01-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13624 6122 751 381 307 151 19 0
OW 0 64 177 75 94 80 21 0
VODI 0 24 102 108 134 135 44 0
ODI 0 10 58 32 90 135 139 0
CDI 0 2 56 56 76 216 446 2
VCDI 0 0 49 106 175 450 6695 6953
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13624 5997 680 376 323 176 35 0
OW 0 102 156 56 88 81 47 0
VODI 0 45 124 89 116 114 100 0
ODI 0 22 62 58 72 127 107 0
CDI 0 26 72 44 67 182 308 26
VCDI 0 30 99 135 210 487 6767 6929


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