Validation of sea ice concentration
Bulletin date: 2019-11-28
Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables
Date: 2019-11-22:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
15116 |
7009 |
1213 |
478 |
297 |
177 |
56 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
24 |
199 |
153 |
150 |
128 |
30 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
7 |
114 |
188 |
215 |
280 |
93 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
6 |
22 |
89 |
181 |
440 |
174 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
1 |
18 |
47 |
79 |
460 |
670 |
9 |
| VCDI |
0 |
1 |
2 |
23 |
34 |
175 |
5847 |
3954 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2019-11-26:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
14651 |
6941 |
926 |
479 |
385 |
330 |
64 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
24 |
77 |
120 |
89 |
155 |
35 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
5 |
55 |
115 |
137 |
245 |
123 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
18 |
42 |
78 |
275 |
304 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
3 |
36 |
43 |
298 |
872 |
6 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
3 |
6 |
19 |
192 |
5384 |
5624 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2019-11-28:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
14190 |
6669 |
1124 |
554 |
298 |
436 |
157 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
13 |
55 |
80 |
97 |
156 |
72 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
2 |
29 |
39 |
104 |
186 |
111 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
4 |
27 |
66 |
215 |
186 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
10 |
52 |
204 |
623 |
15 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
11 |
27 |
245 |
5912 |
6190 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
14190 |
6674 |
1138 |
558 |
312 |
433 |
158 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
10 |
55 |
78 |
77 |
161 |
67 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
0 |
15 |
37 |
113 |
180 |
107 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
2 |
29 |
68 |
210 |
170 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
2 |
8 |
47 |
249 |
574 |
14 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
11 |
27 |
209 |
5985 |
6191 |
|
Date: 2019-12-02:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
14334 |
7136 |
759 |
468 |
218 |
23 |
161 |
2 |
| OW |
0 |
82 |
139 |
135 |
86 |
20 |
42 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
20 |
89 |
175 |
89 |
69 |
92 |
3 |
| ODI |
0 |
7 |
29 |
96 |
92 |
82 |
152 |
32 |
| CDI |
0 |
1 |
13 |
41 |
104 |
143 |
369 |
97 |
| VCDI |
0 |
22 |
24 |
34 |
130 |
763 |
8403 |
3383 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
14334 |
7116 |
726 |
434 |
207 |
19 |
151 |
2 |
| OW |
0 |
91 |
165 |
167 |
89 |
29 |
49 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
31 |
99 |
181 |
107 |
64 |
89 |
5 |
| ODI |
0 |
8 |
27 |
95 |
98 |
101 |
165 |
25 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
22 |
47 |
93 |
133 |
388 |
85 |
| VCDI |
0 |
22 |
14 |
25 |
125 |
754 |
8377 |
3400 |
|
Date: 2019-12-04:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
14234 |
7018 |
1074 |
304 |
243 |
126 |
87 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
103 |
174 |
114 |
97 |
56 |
29 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
58 |
132 |
103 |
107 |
123 |
57 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
5 |
62 |
73 |
93 |
126 |
150 |
48 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
37 |
59 |
83 |
220 |
361 |
121 |
| VCDI |
0 |
40 |
36 |
83 |
129 |
527 |
8857 |
2810 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
14234 |
6938 |
985 |
280 |
217 |
117 |
72 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
155 |
256 |
123 |
112 |
53 |
40 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
84 |
152 |
118 |
118 |
133 |
69 |
8 |
| ODI |
0 |
6 |
75 |
63 |
101 |
160 |
175 |
51 |
| CDI |
0 |
1 |
25 |
83 |
84 |
220 |
391 |
122 |
| VCDI |
0 |
40 |
22 |
69 |
120 |
495 |
8794 |
2798 |
|
Date: 2019-12-06:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
...observations not yet available
|
...observations not yet available
|
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