Validation of sea ice concentration
Bulletin date: 2016-08-11
Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables
Date: 2016-08-05:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
24166 |
5061 |
1004 |
736 |
234 |
79 |
50 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
0 |
8 |
158 |
181 |
87 |
34 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
0 |
4 |
74 |
324 |
356 |
96 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
122 |
597 |
602 |
2 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
14 |
182 |
1871 |
2074 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
7 |
6 |
3 |
14 |
3 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2016-08-09:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
24316 |
5173 |
1067 |
619 |
214 |
61 |
19 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
0 |
18 |
114 |
169 |
88 |
38 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
53 |
180 |
209 |
126 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
6 |
82 |
317 |
552 |
2 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
6 |
7 |
35 |
1800 |
2080 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
14 |
3 |
2 |
411 |
378 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2016-08-11:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
24387 |
5082 |
1091 |
598 |
257 |
33 |
12 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
1 |
30 |
121 |
186 |
100 |
26 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
0 |
4 |
53 |
199 |
251 |
149 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
11 |
52 |
247 |
566 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
9 |
52 |
2201 |
1847 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
15 |
2 |
0 |
242 |
330 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
24387 |
5082 |
1095 |
611 |
285 |
38 |
10 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
1 |
24 |
106 |
159 |
69 |
32 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
0 |
6 |
54 |
174 |
223 |
141 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
13 |
76 |
278 |
462 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
17 |
10 |
75 |
2276 |
1729 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
1 |
0 |
275 |
448 |
|
Date: 2016-08-15:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
24596 |
4898 |
1055 |
656 |
256 |
34 |
8 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
0 |
13 |
87 |
154 |
60 |
10 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
38 |
156 |
171 |
26 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
11 |
182 |
521 |
411 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
17 |
129 |
2207 |
137 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
5 |
3 |
862 |
1450 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
24596 |
4897 |
1041 |
674 |
304 |
57 |
14 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
1 |
23 |
77 |
165 |
85 |
36 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
0 |
4 |
37 |
184 |
356 |
96 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
7 |
96 |
282 |
538 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
17 |
137 |
2588 |
1141 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
1 |
252 |
446 |
|
Date: 2016-08-17:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
25062 |
4774 |
695 |
745 |
277 |
48 |
8 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
5 |
6 |
83 |
147 |
74 |
9 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
1 |
12 |
63 |
235 |
184 |
41 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
7 |
169 |
417 |
342 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
19 |
277 |
2128 |
145 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
5 |
3 |
688 |
1485 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
25062 |
4778 |
688 |
760 |
325 |
69 |
18 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
1 |
18 |
90 |
141 |
102 |
30 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
1 |
7 |
47 |
239 |
258 |
118 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
111 |
263 |
558 |
5 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
33 |
310 |
2265 |
1221 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
1 |
227 |
404 |
|
Date: 2016-08-19:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
24559 |
5009 |
1095 |
638 |
292 |
48 |
10 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
0 |
18 |
71 |
162 |
80 |
9 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
0 |
2 |
32 |
251 |
261 |
38 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
15 |
105 |
327 |
474 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
17 |
218 |
2220 |
69 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
1 |
7 |
640 |
1488 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
24559 |
5009 |
1092 |
634 |
319 |
59 |
21 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
0 |
21 |
77 |
175 |
114 |
27 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
0 |
2 |
39 |
221 |
319 |
127 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
79 |
191 |
699 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
7 |
34 |
258 |
2391 |
1022 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
126 |
535 |
|
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