Validation of sea ice concentration
Bulletin date: 2016-01-07
Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables
Date: 2016-01-01:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
...observations not yet available
|
...observations not yet available
|
Date: 2016-01-05:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
15950 |
6839 |
728 |
134 |
64 |
10 |
3 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
532 |
529 |
332 |
155 |
20 |
3 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
109 |
370 |
371 |
294 |
141 |
26 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
9 |
50 |
143 |
263 |
360 |
215 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
2 |
22 |
80 |
175 |
359 |
728 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
35 |
52 |
177 |
346 |
4716 |
3817 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2016-01-07:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
15353 |
6614 |
669 |
97 |
51 |
6 |
2 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
361 |
408 |
156 |
90 |
27 |
4 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
186 |
493 |
387 |
450 |
181 |
23 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
23 |
168 |
177 |
336 |
434 |
167 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
5 |
56 |
86 |
204 |
499 |
654 |
5 |
| VCDI |
0 |
7 |
48 |
46 |
154 |
366 |
5306 |
3860 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
15353 |
6737 |
756 |
126 |
63 |
13 |
1 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
303 |
356 |
149 |
95 |
30 |
5 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
121 |
460 |
368 |
430 |
201 |
27 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
23 |
165 |
172 |
317 |
404 |
216 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
6 |
54 |
85 |
222 |
483 |
641 |
5 |
| VCDI |
0 |
6 |
51 |
49 |
158 |
382 |
5266 |
3860 |
|
Date: 2016-01-11:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
15119 |
6568 |
573 |
134 |
49 |
11 |
4 |
0 |
| OW |
19 |
181 |
267 |
113 |
51 |
35 |
4 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
95 |
253 |
245 |
188 |
90 |
24 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
45 |
60 |
129 |
398 |
421 |
143 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
83 |
24 |
59 |
135 |
590 |
716 |
17 |
| VCDI |
0 |
131 |
26 |
47 |
80 |
717 |
6756 |
3559 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
15138 |
6445 |
513 |
135 |
60 |
55 |
16 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
190 |
182 |
73 |
38 |
32 |
11 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
105 |
232 |
179 |
173 |
66 |
33 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
94 |
158 |
130 |
257 |
248 |
107 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
147 |
68 |
102 |
224 |
508 |
546 |
19 |
| VCDI |
0 |
122 |
50 |
108 |
149 |
955 |
6934 |
3557 |
|
Date: 2016-01-13:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
14629 |
6469 |
764 |
153 |
55 |
13 |
7 |
0 |
| OW |
10 |
75 |
269 |
118 |
64 |
11 |
8 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
58 |
189 |
159 |
136 |
75 |
11 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
34 |
110 |
138 |
129 |
258 |
76 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
4 |
63 |
106 |
196 |
743 |
531 |
2 |
| VCDI |
0 |
3 |
53 |
43 |
121 |
718 |
7350 |
4208 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
14637 |
6434 |
760 |
181 |
73 |
18 |
16 |
0 |
| OW |
2 |
68 |
218 |
93 |
59 |
24 |
13 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
44 |
176 |
135 |
116 |
106 |
21 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
44 |
85 |
101 |
129 |
294 |
105 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
31 |
100 |
113 |
173 |
603 |
612 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
22 |
109 |
94 |
151 |
773 |
7216 |
4210 |
|
Date: 2016-01-15:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
14346 |
6452 |
745 |
160 |
73 |
24 |
18 |
0 |
| OW |
5 |
83 |
255 |
98 |
86 |
22 |
10 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
18 |
182 |
176 |
142 |
90 |
24 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
14 |
80 |
118 |
160 |
213 |
128 |
7 |
| CDI |
0 |
9 |
59 |
112 |
210 |
470 |
710 |
61 |
| VCDI |
0 |
3 |
83 |
125 |
179 |
388 |
6876 |
5145 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
14351 |
6423 |
774 |
214 |
111 |
40 |
24 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
92 |
169 |
80 |
90 |
33 |
21 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
35 |
156 |
106 |
109 |
119 |
42 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
15 |
125 |
104 |
105 |
193 |
117 |
33 |
| CDI |
0 |
11 |
113 |
155 |
206 |
322 |
592 |
101 |
| VCDI |
0 |
3 |
67 |
130 |
229 |
500 |
6970 |
5079 |
|
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