Validation of sea ice concentration

Bulletin date: 2015-03-26

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2015-03-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13257 6054 811 186 39 5 0 0
OW 0 132 276 179 71 9 1 0
VODI 0 40 161 224 194 41 29 0
ODI 0 15 85 96 210 98 54 1
CDI 0 7 94 130 207 245 215 15
VCDI 0 0 49 123 372 1131 7492 4719
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-03-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12883 5941 707 244 98 12 0 0
OW 0 57 262 127 72 29 2 0
VODI 0 27 163 214 173 87 10 0
ODI 0 0 54 153 193 155 53 0
CDI 0 0 16 76 208 309 282 11
VCDI 0 0 7 44 159 887 6866 6486
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-03-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12972 5881 581 191 136 48 7 0
OW 0 71 275 86 56 32 5 0
VODI 0 34 176 147 120 79 29 0
ODI 0 2 97 129 195 136 67 0
CDI 0 0 56 99 188 212 365 20
VCDI 0 0 18 69 164 561 6928 6835
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12972 5899 622 206 145 48 4 0
OW 0 61 266 93 57 34 9 0
VODI 0 26 154 133 121 85 29 0
ODI 0 2 93 114 179 126 68 0
CDI 0 0 49 100 186 219 397 21
VCDI 0 0 19 75 171 556 6894 6834

Date: 2015-03-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13522 6129 609 188 16 2 1 0
OW 0 186 200 223 58 14 3 0
VODI 0 59 133 221 177 76 21 0
ODI 0 15 80 105 156 156 60 0
CDI 0 2 74 135 135 246 322 2
VCDI 0 1 39 69 183 675 9024 3750
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13522 5884 571 138 13 4 1 0
OW 0 210 127 161 30 10 4 0
VODI 0 160 129 240 116 38 15 0
ODI 0 56 61 127 168 133 59 0
CDI 0 53 76 83 157 229 222 2
VCDI 0 29 171 192 241 755 9130 3750

Date: 2015-04-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13405 6155 746 222 36 11 9 0
OW 0 83 266 188 105 24 4 0
VODI 0 43 140 141 169 104 53 0
ODI 0 24 97 75 108 143 90 12
CDI 0 13 56 119 122 158 268 96
VCDI 0 1 75 161 237 377 7675 5256
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13405 5919 628 171 47 11 10 0
OW 0 136 222 133 61 27 10 0
VODI 0 141 181 177 137 90 55 0
ODI 0 47 88 90 126 119 130 13
CDI 0 34 96 103 140 191 302 107
VCDI 0 42 165 232 266 379 7592 5244

Date: 2015-04-03:

Best estimate Forecast
...observations not yet available ...observations not yet available


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