Validation of sea ice concentration
Bulletin date: 2014-10-30
Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables
Date: 2014-10-24:
Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
17669 |
5961 |
671 |
160 |
57 |
24 |
32 |
0 |
OW |
0 |
316 |
174 |
112 |
67 |
45 |
12 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
123 |
155 |
175 |
180 |
120 |
37 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
40 |
27 |
60 |
176 |
251 |
92 |
0 |
CDI |
0 |
28 |
41 |
64 |
245 |
515 |
655 |
0 |
VCDI |
0 |
23 |
11 |
55 |
122 |
733 |
4745 |
3094 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2014-10-28:
Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
17875 |
6221 |
376 |
195 |
71 |
51 |
29 |
0 |
OW |
0 |
237 |
210 |
115 |
35 |
53 |
30 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
116 |
145 |
256 |
148 |
86 |
43 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
29 |
47 |
174 |
173 |
154 |
80 |
0 |
CDI |
0 |
23 |
49 |
123 |
234 |
429 |
273 |
0 |
VCDI |
0 |
6 |
20 |
74 |
245 |
704 |
4434 |
3504 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2014-10-30:
Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
17335 |
6022 |
542 |
250 |
89 |
33 |
21 |
0 |
OW |
0 |
193 |
170 |
84 |
47 |
36 |
24 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
151 |
203 |
208 |
137 |
84 |
30 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
49 |
68 |
189 |
238 |
117 |
59 |
0 |
CDI |
0 |
20 |
56 |
148 |
223 |
267 |
307 |
0 |
VCDI |
0 |
10 |
42 |
113 |
286 |
411 |
5128 |
3677 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
17335 |
6031 |
567 |
255 |
92 |
32 |
27 |
0 |
OW |
0 |
150 |
171 |
80 |
49 |
31 |
25 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
162 |
192 |
206 |
145 |
80 |
28 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
64 |
57 |
185 |
221 |
127 |
66 |
0 |
CDI |
0 |
24 |
53 |
169 |
227 |
259 |
319 |
0 |
VCDI |
0 |
14 |
41 |
97 |
286 |
419 |
5104 |
3677 |
|
Date: 2014-11-03:
Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
17032 |
6171 |
686 |
262 |
169 |
93 |
49 |
0 |
OW |
0 |
63 |
112 |
83 |
72 |
51 |
36 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
12 |
70 |
84 |
101 |
85 |
98 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
3 |
28 |
28 |
53 |
120 |
219 |
13 |
CDI |
0 |
3 |
15 |
16 |
40 |
202 |
842 |
24 |
VCDI |
0 |
0 |
12 |
15 |
63 |
320 |
5906 |
3816 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
17032 |
5772 |
554 |
182 |
135 |
101 |
56 |
0 |
OW |
0 |
173 |
93 |
39 |
31 |
28 |
62 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
155 |
118 |
67 |
27 |
38 |
120 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
76 |
54 |
68 |
59 |
66 |
173 |
4 |
CDI |
0 |
37 |
50 |
68 |
100 |
162 |
527 |
19 |
VCDI |
0 |
39 |
54 |
64 |
146 |
476 |
6212 |
3830 |
|
Date: 2014-11-05:
Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
16329 |
6176 |
664 |
282 |
151 |
106 |
20 |
0 |
OW |
0 |
169 |
107 |
152 |
48 |
37 |
20 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
128 |
76 |
150 |
102 |
71 |
35 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
31 |
43 |
45 |
80 |
91 |
89 |
1 |
CDI |
0 |
27 |
28 |
57 |
88 |
196 |
300 |
13 |
VCDI |
0 |
11 |
29 |
43 |
84 |
490 |
6510 |
3988 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
16329 |
5872 |
634 |
292 |
157 |
132 |
57 |
0 |
OW |
0 |
201 |
84 |
51 |
41 |
42 |
39 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
224 |
87 |
81 |
42 |
41 |
89 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
81 |
41 |
91 |
41 |
69 |
93 |
1 |
CDI |
0 |
74 |
41 |
84 |
87 |
159 |
299 |
7 |
VCDI |
0 |
90 |
60 |
130 |
185 |
548 |
6397 |
3994 |
|
Date: 2014-11-07:
Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
16398 |
5994 |
481 |
228 |
151 |
86 |
24 |
0 |
OW |
0 |
178 |
111 |
65 |
35 |
49 |
18 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
99 |
156 |
145 |
85 |
96 |
45 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
38 |
80 |
90 |
65 |
78 |
74 |
0 |
CDI |
0 |
10 |
28 |
48 |
73 |
80 |
239 |
9 |
VCDI |
0 |
3 |
39 |
108 |
181 |
552 |
6514 |
4314 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
16398 |
5768 |
505 |
286 |
181 |
143 |
68 |
0 |
OW |
0 |
159 |
63 |
59 |
26 |
29 |
35 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
240 |
96 |
56 |
43 |
62 |
52 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
106 |
95 |
58 |
41 |
67 |
83 |
0 |
CDI |
0 |
42 |
60 |
96 |
79 |
87 |
254 |
8 |
VCDI |
0 |
7 |
76 |
129 |
220 |
553 |
6422 |
4315 |
|
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