Validation of sea ice concentration

Bulletin date: 2013-03-14

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2013-03-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12723 5788 423 325 197 97 15 0
OW 0 199 93 102 103 74 17 0
VODI 0 172 53 127 150 111 23 0
ODI 0 31 38 80 161 217 49 0
CDI 0 15 17 53 151 400 273 64
VCDI 0 6 9 34 127 637 6956 7310
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2013-03-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11760 6282 734 444 271 142 11 0
OW 0 54 114 150 90 99 24 0
VODI 0 11 60 135 119 161 39 0
ODI 0 4 13 70 112 186 79 0
CDI 0 1 6 68 158 320 441 0
VCDI 0 0 3 38 136 758 8871 5456
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2013-03-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12292 5868 582 404 162 52 50 0
OW 1 89 100 132 117 50 36 0
VODI 0 48 66 122 136 93 78 0
ODI 0 8 17 84 119 130 116 0
CDI 0 0 10 46 135 276 432 6
VCDI 0 0 0 15 107 474 8612 6355
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12293 5954 660 540 295 112 85 0
OW 0 33 45 51 68 45 41 0
VODI 0 20 41 77 90 87 75 0
ODI 0 6 18 61 89 108 99 0
CDI 0 0 9 50 111 229 389 5
VCDI 0 0 2 24 123 494 8635 6356

Date: 2013-03-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12644 6017 553 379 98 44 15 0
OW 1 73 132 110 98 66 25 0
VODI 0 21 118 99 109 118 50 0
ODI 0 4 24 72 129 224 126 0
CDI 0 3 5 9 62 306 540 17
VCDI 0 2 0 8 92 332 7414 7281
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12644 5922 574 416 170 129 61 0
OW 1 69 60 40 39 40 34 0
VODI 0 55 76 62 53 78 80 0
ODI 0 23 51 59 58 118 100 1
CDI 0 30 38 40 105 273 338 17
VCDI 0 21 33 60 163 452 7557 7280

Date: 2013-03-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12830 5868 586 288 69 77 20 0
OW 1 56 93 162 69 67 13 0
VODI 0 15 51 104 73 187 29 0
ODI 0 5 18 44 94 236 69 15
CDI 0 3 9 17 119 371 352 135
VCDI 0 0 0 5 107 579 8325 6259
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12830 5859 596 336 93 183 47 0
OW 1 44 52 70 38 65 15 0
VODI 0 19 57 73 70 109 45 0
ODI 0 9 26 54 82 148 92 23
CDI 0 8 15 39 104 266 297 137
VCDI 0 8 11 48 144 746 8312 6249

Date: 2013-03-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12937 5707 465 342 117 68 29 0
OW 0 95 67 103 91 70 20 0
VODI 0 16 61 96 94 132 69 0
ODI 0 0 18 45 106 172 139 0
CDI 0 0 7 18 74 390 588 50
VCDI 0 0 0 47 78 480 8322 6306
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12937 5653 504 383 185 122 73 0
OW 0 42 28 51 42 50 33 0
VODI 0 40 25 63 63 80 84 0
ODI 0 21 20 31 49 129 149 0
CDI 0 27 15 21 98 299 444 47
VCDI 0 35 26 102 123 632 8384 6309


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