Validation of sea ice concentration

Bulletin date: 2012-12-20

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2012-12-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 15300 7588 851 606 188 37 0 0
OW 0 383 230 230 144 83 7 0
VODI 0 99 135 284 230 207 76 0
ODI 0 12 26 144 214 268 213 0
CDI 0 5 6 95 189 261 521 0
VCDI 0 1 34 133 302 496 5021 2800
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2012-12-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 15165 7419 943 680 179 29 0 0
OW 0 185 160 345 172 49 2 0
VODI 0 31 63 289 504 134 33 0
ODI 0 10 15 124 256 230 145 0
CDI 0 3 5 59 248 448 279 7
VCDI 0 2 4 29 217 911 4723 3322
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2012-12-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 15575 6926 672 366 74 3 0 0
OW 0 177 439 299 133 39 1 0
VODI 0 29 247 325 302 205 20 0
ODI 0 0 53 122 235 384 55 0
CDI 0 0 27 67 193 511 197 3
VCDI 0 0 25 54 142 1307 4068 4144
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 15575 7101 1053 708 238 111 12 0
OW 0 18 136 106 100 60 6 0
VODI 0 13 142 163 165 116 18 0
ODI 0 0 73 116 194 241 39 0
CDI 0 0 29 73 192 442 141 1
VCDI 0 0 30 67 190 1479 4125 4146

Date: 2012-12-24:

Best estimate Forecast
...observations not yet available ...observations not yet available

Date: 2012-12-26:

Best estimate Forecast
...observations not yet available ...observations not yet available

Date: 2012-12-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14857 6579 747 377 111 79 0 0
OW 0 162 251 202 154 73 0 0
VODI 0 112 215 270 183 174 5 0
ODI 0 11 91 252 196 216 19 6
CDI 0 9 54 99 379 360 183 55
VCDI 0 7 99 177 542 1528 4620 3965
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14857 6681 834 580 264 142 7 0
OW 0 72 104 103 95 58 3 0
VODI 0 48 146 147 148 90 4 0
ODI 0 24 107 163 180 149 47 7
CDI 0 10 65 91 178 241 155 45
VCDI 0 45 201 293 700 1750 4611 3974


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