Validation of sea ice concentration
Bulletin date: 2012-01-11
Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables
Date: 2012-01-05:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
15406 |
6956 |
429 |
189 |
36 |
6 |
3 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
249 |
254 |
258 |
82 |
25 |
8 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
104 |
146 |
216 |
197 |
190 |
31 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
61 |
45 |
102 |
174 |
529 |
264 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
11 |
45 |
128 |
140 |
697 |
948 |
1 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
25 |
130 |
868 |
4587 |
3879 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2012-01-09:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
14481 |
6997 |
527 |
253 |
111 |
27 |
1 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
178 |
208 |
145 |
119 |
165 |
12 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
75 |
138 |
200 |
157 |
351 |
22 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
19 |
84 |
105 |
114 |
406 |
155 |
16 |
| CDI |
0 |
1 |
18 |
87 |
77 |
585 |
356 |
85 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
1 |
14 |
49 |
1337 |
5529 |
4214 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2012-01-11:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
14194 |
6998 |
1143 |
325 |
56 |
16 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
1 |
136 |
197 |
257 |
121 |
80 |
7 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
15 |
117 |
242 |
198 |
203 |
42 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
3 |
19 |
111 |
158 |
355 |
151 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
6 |
49 |
92 |
552 |
694 |
12 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
10 |
25 |
845 |
6580 |
3409 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
14195 |
6992 |
1094 |
510 |
198 |
207 |
144 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
68 |
63 |
73 |
54 |
58 |
37 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
58 |
83 |
94 |
75 |
109 |
40 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
11 |
72 |
39 |
74 |
151 |
80 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
13 |
75 |
64 |
70 |
343 |
301 |
13 |
| VCDI |
0 |
10 |
95 |
214 |
179 |
1183 |
6872 |
3408 |
|
Date: 2012-01-15:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
...observations not yet available
|
...observations not yet available
|
Date: 2012-01-17:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
14411 |
6793 |
640 |
204 |
58 |
24 |
8 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
195 |
277 |
294 |
77 |
77 |
12 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
55 |
103 |
324 |
270 |
199 |
64 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
41 |
56 |
96 |
198 |
335 |
141 |
6 |
| CDI |
0 |
6 |
42 |
104 |
136 |
481 |
699 |
82 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
22 |
36 |
80 |
467 |
5544 |
4762 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
14411 |
6794 |
821 |
545 |
208 |
172 |
162 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
63 |
58 |
94 |
70 |
53 |
21 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
74 |
41 |
101 |
126 |
121 |
58 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
48 |
29 |
51 |
97 |
145 |
105 |
9 |
| CDI |
0 |
40 |
73 |
84 |
127 |
346 |
365 |
83 |
| VCDI |
0 |
71 |
118 |
183 |
191 |
746 |
5757 |
4758 |
|
Date: 2012-01-19:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
15498 |
6288 |
1103 |
299 |
45 |
11 |
4 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
250 |
315 |
265 |
103 |
37 |
13 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
38 |
89 |
262 |
236 |
166 |
59 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
2 |
32 |
141 |
145 |
235 |
203 |
4 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
19 |
115 |
221 |
347 |
839 |
21 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
1 |
19 |
97 |
453 |
6184 |
3260 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
15498 |
6179 |
869 |
365 |
98 |
60 |
169 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
93 |
82 |
87 |
20 |
21 |
16 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
109 |
102 |
112 |
79 |
44 |
58 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
52 |
75 |
83 |
70 |
74 |
99 |
4 |
| CDI |
0 |
40 |
126 |
120 |
138 |
118 |
209 |
19 |
| VCDI |
0 |
105 |
305 |
334 |
442 |
932 |
6751 |
3262 |
|
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