Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2022-10-13

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2022-10-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 141468 1311 0
FY ice 793 9075 2039
MY ice 143 1540 22395
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-10-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 139945 2093 0
FY ice 543 10841 1272
MY ice 265 2624 19385
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-10-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 138372 2617 0
FY ice 243 12771 1104
MY ice 108 3381 19075
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-10-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 136496 3470 0
FY ice 286 13473 1574
MY ice 287 3101 19653
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 136488 3651 0
FY ice 308 13219 1674
MY ice 273 3174 19553

Date: 2022-10-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 134336 3917 0
FY ice 406 15731 881
MY ice 132 3421 19537
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 134349 4263 0
FY ice 396 15263 940
MY ice 129 3543 19478

Date: 2022-10-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 132820 2290 0
FY ice 436 18364 956
MY ice 58 4440 18355
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 132838 4399 0
FY ice 385 16918 961
MY ice 91 3777 18350

Date: 2022-10-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 130623 3235 0
FY ice 587 19776 922
MY ice 97 4059 18481
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 130716 4670 0
FY ice 472 18812 920
MY ice 119 3588 18483

Date: 2022-10-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 129582 3243 0
FY ice 830 20604 1146
MY ice 72 3653 18586
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 129744 4357 0
FY ice 653 19627 1211
MY ice 87 3516 18521


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