Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
American sector
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - American sector

Bulletin date: 2020-12-24

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2020-12-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 284 11 0
FY ice 210 18194 874
MY ice 1 4739 12026
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-12-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 139 1 0
FY ice 221 17830 1151
MY ice 0 4675 12218
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-12-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 56 0 0
FY ice 59 17423 1244
MY ice 0 4742 12290
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-12-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 6 46 0
FY ice 53 17202 1143
MY ice 0 4948 11747
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 7 33 0
FY ice 52 17135 1199
MY ice 0 5028 11691

Date: 2020-12-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 37 17141 1231
MY ice 0 5088 12023
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 37 17076 1230
MY ice 0 5153 12024

Date: 2020-12-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 2 0 0
FY ice 66 17155 1405
MY ice 0 5043 11996
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 68 17064 1435
MY ice 0 5134 11966

Date: 2020-12-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 2 0
FY ice 3 17070 1431
MY ice 0 5150 11980
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 5 0
FY ice 3 16985 1480
MY ice 0 5232 11931

Date: 2021-01-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 3 0
FY ice 3 16738 1378
MY ice 0 5535 11388
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 5 0
FY ice 3 16772 1515
MY ice 0 5499 11251


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