Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
American sector
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - American sector

Bulletin date: 2020-11-26

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2020-11-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 10584 316 0
FY ice 202 15009 955
MY ice 0 3202 12188
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-11-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 8748 339 0
FY ice 160 15111 971
MY ice 0 3340 11986
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-11-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 7603 257 0
FY ice 127 15329 1051
MY ice 0 3477 11962
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-11-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 7475 62 0
FY ice 442 14622 961
MY ice 0 3566 12137
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 7503 70 0
FY ice 414 14361 941
MY ice 0 3819 12157

Date: 2020-11-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 6557 275 0
FY ice 200 15432 946
MY ice 0 3893 11952
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 6557 296 0
FY ice 200 15159 926
MY ice 0 4145 11972

Date: 2020-11-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 5486 344 0
FY ice 56 16024 832
MY ice 0 3866 12085
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 5464 386 0
FY ice 78 15740 822
MY ice 0 4108 12095

Date: 2020-12-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 4884 423 0
FY ice 58 16455 826
MY ice 0 3977 11925
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 4875 460 0
FY ice 66 16191 814
MY ice 1 4204 11937

Date: 2020-12-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 4831 380 0
FY ice 141 16845 470
MY ice 0 4360 11218
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 4783 415 0
FY ice 189 16535 443
MY ice 0 4635 11245


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