Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2020-10-22

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2020-10-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 144667 1772 226
FY ice 183 1074 12968
MY ice 0 192 21828
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-10-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 143683 2513 82
FY ice 161 6311 3817
MY ice 0 1283 17402
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-10-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 142707 2026 180
FY ice 55 10264 3686
MY ice 0 1800 16529
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-10-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 142200 2074 101
FY ice 69 11169 3601
MY ice 0 1690 17320
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 142199 2027 89
FY ice 70 11183 3575
MY ice 0 1723 17358

Date: 2020-10-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 140643 2723 38
FY ice 37 12189 3868
MY ice 0 1909 17922
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 140632 2707 50
FY ice 48 12157 3752
MY ice 0 1957 18026

Date: 2020-10-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 138598 2514 72
FY ice 37 13730 4261
MY ice 0 1999 17960
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 138535 3494 133
FY ice 100 12786 4054
MY ice 0 1963 18106

Date: 2020-10-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 137041 2757 248
FY ice 71 14230 4629
MY ice 0 2083 17998
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 136902 3007 287
FY ice 210 13867 4427
MY ice 0 2196 18161

Date: 2020-10-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 132712 5555 0
FY ice 197 17080 3164
MY ice 0 2126 17378
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 132552 5561 0
FY ice 357 16770 3090
MY ice 0 2430 17452


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