Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
American sector
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - American sector

Bulletin date: 2020-05-07

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2020-05-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 122 1 0
FY ice 8 19707 130
MY ice 2 5779 8587
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-05-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 241 5 0
FY ice 101 20024 70
MY ice 0 5848 7907
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-05-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 272 0 0
FY ice 15 19936 58
MY ice 0 6463 7156
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-05-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 270 4 0
FY ice 30 19987 56
MY ice 0 6529 7119
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 271 11 0
FY ice 29 20026 54
MY ice 0 6483 7121

Date: 2020-05-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 328 66 0
FY ice 185 19801 53
MY ice 31 6393 6967
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 327 74 0
FY ice 184 19798 47
MY ice 33 6388 6973

Date: 2020-05-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 494 78 0
FY ice 222 19825 44
MY ice 6 6407 6931
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 471 137 4
FY ice 242 19913 34
MY ice 9 6260 6937

Date: 2020-05-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 475 114 0
FY ice 223 18161 59
MY ice 36 6570 6192
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 440 140 0
FY ice 263 18277 53
MY ice 31 6428 6198

Date: 2020-05-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 486 155 1
FY ice 231 17698 114
MY ice 30 7390 5221
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 415 169 0
FY ice 311 17782 138
MY ice 21 7292 5198


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