Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
American sector
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - American sector

Bulletin date: 2020-04-02

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2020-03-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 0 18095 550
MY ice 0 5317 11300
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-03-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 1 18030 490
MY ice 0 5261 11504
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-03-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 3 0
FY ice 0 18074 366
MY ice 0 5683 10596
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-04-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 34 0
FY ice 21 18330 403
MY ice 1 5851 10538
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 27 0
FY ice 21 18418 398
MY ice 1 5770 10543

Date: 2020-04-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 5 40 0
FY ice 11 18768 328
MY ice 9 6120 9606
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 5 43 0
FY ice 10 18829 327
MY ice 10 6056 9607

Date: 2020-04-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 19 11 0
FY ice 13 19134 350
MY ice 2 5734 10141
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 19 18 0
FY ice 6 19143 348
MY ice 9 5718 10143

Date: 2020-04-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 8 18894 450
MY ice 0 5491 10401
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 8 18943 452
MY ice 0 5442 10399

Date: 2020-04-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 52 0 0
FY ice 107 18876 572
MY ice 14 5302 10584
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 38 1 0
FY ice 90 18795 557
MY ice 45 5382 10599


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