Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
American sector
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - American sector

Bulletin date: 2019-11-07

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2019-11-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 22839 878 0
FY ice 141 5405 1763
MY ice 0 577 12379
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-11-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 21351 1903 0
FY ice 73 6235 1865
MY ice 0 561 12465
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-11-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 20205 1671 0
FY ice 26 7922 1432
MY ice 0 792 12222
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-11-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 19097 2071 0
FY ice 5 8861 1329
MY ice 0 849 12192
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 19094 2003 0
FY ice 8 9027 1349
MY ice 0 751 12172

Date: 2019-11-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 18832 1890 0
FY ice 88 9591 1043
MY ice 0 1490 11292
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 18806 1831 0
FY ice 114 9772 1029
MY ice 0 1368 11306

Date: 2019-11-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 17798 2131 0
FY ice 32 9798 1302
MY ice 0 681 12379
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 17756 2058 0
FY ice 74 9942 1333
MY ice 0 610 12348

Date: 2019-11-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 16338 2753 0
FY ice 101 10783 1278
MY ice 0 979 12137
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 16271 3062 0
FY ice 168 10436 1291
MY ice 0 1017 12124

Date: 2019-11-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 15185 2571 1
FY ice 215 11386 1203
MY ice 0 1186 12132
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 15105 2974 1
FY ice 295 10965 1263
MY ice 0 1204 12072


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