Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
American sector
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - American sector

Bulletin date: 2019-04-18

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2019-04-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 5 0
FY ice 39 21559 594
MY ice 0 4747 7993
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-04-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 6 0
FY ice 94 21369 693
MY ice 0 4624 7997
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-04-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 28 1 0
FY ice 18 21155 693
MY ice 0 4576 8037
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-04-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 14 0 0
FY ice 4 20785 797
MY ice 0 4282 8082
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 12 0 0
FY ice 6 20654 791
MY ice 0 4413 8088

Date: 2019-04-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 3 0 0
FY ice 12 20595 823
MY ice 0 4395 8113
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 2 0 0
FY ice 13 20439 826
MY ice 0 4551 8110

Date: 2019-04-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 25 0 0
FY ice 49 20645 718
MY ice 0 4327 8127
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 3 0 0
FY ice 71 20370 738
MY ice 0 4602 8107

Date: 2019-04-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 1 13 0
FY ice 45 20790 783
MY ice 6 4623 7562
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 35 20459 806
MY ice 17 4967 7539

Date: 2019-04-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 4 14 0
FY ice 29 21083 622
MY ice 0 4659 7524
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 5 2 0
FY ice 28 20566 680
MY ice 0 5188 7466


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