Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
American sector
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - American sector

Bulletin date: 2019-03-07

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2019-03-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 56 190 0
FY ice 21 21194 762
MY ice 0 5545 7450
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-03-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 14 217 0
FY ice 26 21188 723
MY ice 0 5404 7716
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-03-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 47 140 0
FY ice 13 21397 728
MY ice 0 5274 8131
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-03-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 131 0
FY ice 0 21441 748
MY ice 0 5158 8217
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 105 0
FY ice 0 21239 778
MY ice 0 5386 8187

Date: 2019-03-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 69 0
FY ice 0 21386 792
MY ice 0 4780 8468
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 52 0
FY ice 0 21213 825
MY ice 0 4970 8435

Date: 2019-03-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 0 21368 837
MY ice 0 4464 8477
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 0 21204 879
MY ice 0 4628 8435

Date: 2019-03-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 0 21288 930
MY ice 0 4437 8571
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 0 21124 952
MY ice 0 4601 8549

Date: 2019-03-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 7 21456 857
MY ice 1 4481 8508
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 7 21332 864
MY ice 1 4605 8501


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