Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2018-11-08

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2018-11-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 119013 4988 0
FY ice 189 29363 5767
MY ice 0 725 21580
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-11-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 116324 5006 0
FY ice 263 32053 6005
MY ice 2 666 21493
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-11-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 115748 3165 0
FY ice 203 34840 6124
MY ice 13 689 21170
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-11-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 114427 2308 0
FY ice 173 37643 5413
MY ice 9 652 20791
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 114400 2313 0
FY ice 196 37509 5195
MY ice 13 781 21009

Date: 2018-11-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 112977 2092 0
FY ice 316 39306 5252
MY ice 5 784 20360
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 112943 1999 0
FY ice 348 39141 5130
MY ice 7 1042 20482

Date: 2018-11-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 111543 2312 0
FY ice 252 40033 5970
MY ice 3 717 20498
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 111278 2007 0
FY ice 511 40088 5832
MY ice 9 967 20636

Date: 2018-11-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 110430 1762 0
FY ice 372 41228 6239
MY ice 0 765 20503
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 110226 1681 0
FY ice 575 41093 6087
MY ice 1 981 20655

Date: 2018-11-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 108512 1648 1
FY ice 332 42092 6242
MY ice 0 805 20613
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 108325 1919 0
FY ice 519 41672 6136
MY ice 0 954 20720


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