Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice type - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2018-10-25

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2018-10-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 18786 1260 44
FY ice 40 4806 2374
MY ice 0 77 2920
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-10-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 17679 1007 78
FY ice 49 4303 3030
MY ice 0 23 3053
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-10-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 15672 1928 10
FY ice 18 6305 2112
MY ice 0 17 2938
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-10-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 13291 2920 0
FY ice 17 8192 1901
MY ice 0 20 2844
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 13292 3053 0
FY ice 16 8040 1949
MY ice 0 39 2796

Date: 2018-10-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 11233 3503 0
FY ice 17 10109 1736
MY ice 0 42 2784
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 11242 3731 0
FY ice 8 9860 1801
MY ice 0 63 2719

Date: 2018-10-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 11120 2634 0
FY ice 30 11292 1471
MY ice 0 110 2663
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 11098 2880 0
FY ice 52 11014 1578
MY ice 0 142 2556

Date: 2018-10-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 8702 2836 0
FY ice 5 13197 1478
MY ice 0 155 2672
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 8666 3498 0
FY ice 41 12529 1562
MY ice 0 161 2588

Date: 2018-11-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 6436 2711 0
FY ice 67 15842 1413
MY ice 0 147 2736
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 6473 4148 0
FY ice 30 14411 1472
MY ice 0 141 2677


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