Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2018-10-11

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2018-10-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 146046 3015 82
FY ice 98 4111 4768
MY ice 1 232 25128
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-10-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 145544 3543 56
FY ice 285 4419 5132
MY ice 2 173 24734
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-10-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 145427 2452 49
FY ice 71 6172 4676
MY ice 1 168 24131
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-10-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 143372 4054 32
FY ice 45 6209 5391
MY ice 0 96 24124
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 143362 3939 36
FY ice 55 6337 5575
MY ice 0 83 23936

Date: 2018-10-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 141668 4840 73
FY ice 40 6909 5370
MY ice 0 97 23607
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 141671 4749 64
FY ice 37 7016 5492
MY ice 0 81 23494

Date: 2018-10-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 138797 3883 30
FY ice 50 9435 5924
MY ice 0 1077 23034
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 138755 6466 86
FY ice 90 7398 6165
MY ice 2 531 22737

Date: 2018-10-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 138708 3476 82
FY ice 338 9029 7022
MY ice 14 349 23367
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 138772 5141 296
FY ice 279 7603 7135
MY ice 9 110 23040

Date: 2018-10-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 136620 5019 106
FY ice 149 10002 7393
MY ice 0 265 23016
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 136475 6676 206
FY ice 294 8532 7303
MY ice 0 78 23006


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