Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
American sector
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - American sector

Bulletin date: 2018-04-12

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2018-04-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 6 15245 348
MY ice 0 7048 10555
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-04-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 9 15008 442
MY ice 0 7176 10423
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-04-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 5 0
FY ice 7 15112 418
MY ice 0 7196 10408
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-04-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 4 0
FY ice 0 14895 445
MY ice 0 7203 10404
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 9 0
FY ice 0 14912 488
MY ice 0 7181 10361

Date: 2018-04-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 0 14541 469
MY ice 0 7183 10932
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 3 0
FY ice 0 14549 523
MY ice 0 7172 10878

Date: 2018-04-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 18 42 0
FY ice 4 14700 438
MY ice 0 7570 10536
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 10 34 0
FY ice 12 14677 494
MY ice 0 7601 10480

Date: 2018-04-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 20 110 0
FY ice 65 14525 439
MY ice 0 7551 10196
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 15 82 0
FY ice 68 14556 468
MY ice 2 7548 10167

Date: 2018-04-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 56 120 0
FY ice 80 14485 431
MY ice 0 7880 9885
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 41 86 0
FY ice 95 14681 463
MY ice 0 7718 9853


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