Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2018-02-22

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2018-02-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 87619 1115 0
FY ice 254 47543 1204
MY ice 0 10582 13388
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-02-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 87307 1193 3
FY ice 257 47205 1461
MY ice 0 10778 12655
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-02-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 87080 1112 0
FY ice 148 46872 1308
MY ice 0 10921 12282
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-02-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 86711 1093 3
FY ice 144 47122 783
MY ice 0 11562 11502
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 86720 1090 3
FY ice 135 47161 750
MY ice 0 11526 11535

Date: 2018-02-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 86868 1037 0
FY ice 327 44908 1541
MY ice 0 11627 11480
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 86867 1061 7
FY ice 328 44910 1545
MY ice 0 11601 11469

Date: 2018-02-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 86696 934 1
FY ice 236 43557 1573
MY ice 0 10928 14403
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 86452 1144 46
FY ice 480 43378 1600
MY ice 0 10897 14331

Date: 2018-02-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 85901 930 48
FY ice 348 41478 3717
MY ice 0 10296 15742
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 85658 871 93
FY ice 591 41388 3713
MY ice 0 10445 15701

Date: 2018-03-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 85727 1006 23
FY ice 346 41946 3978
MY ice 0 10727 15370
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 85648 1069 33
FY ice 425 41806 4020
MY ice 0 10804 15318


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