Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
American sector
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - American sector

Bulletin date: 2018-02-01

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2018-01-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 1 17531 491
MY ice 0 4743 11895
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-01-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 0 17465 525
MY ice 0 4736 12185
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-01-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 0 17317 556
MY ice 0 4817 12159
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-02-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 0 17336 488
MY ice 0 4987 11695
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 0 17304 489
MY ice 0 5019 11694

Date: 2018-02-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 0 17120 449
MY ice 0 4963 11734
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 0 17101 447
MY ice 0 4982 11736

Date: 2018-02-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 0 16937 408
MY ice 0 5344 10824
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 0 16905 409
MY ice 0 5376 10823

Date: 2018-02-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 0 16842 401
MY ice 0 5449 11487
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 0 16856 403
MY ice 0 5435 11485

Date: 2018-02-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 12 0
FY ice 0 16591 438
MY ice 0 5642 11218
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 0 16467 454
MY ice 0 5778 11202


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