Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2018-01-11

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2018-01-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 91388 1216 0
FY ice 315 46449 3877
MY ice 0 7308 16110
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-01-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 91678 808 0
FY ice 662 46282 3720
MY ice 0 7353 16411
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-01-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 91546 907 0
FY ice 406 46508 3133
MY ice 0 8206 15370
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-01-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 91181 910 0
FY ice 241 47586 3106
MY ice 0 8283 15202
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 91180 866 0
FY ice 242 47597 3107
MY ice 0 8316 15201

Date: 2018-01-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 90831 944 4
FY ice 260 47653 2908
MY ice 0 8285 14770
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 90836 885 3
FY ice 255 47689 2970
MY ice 0 8308 14709

Date: 2018-01-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 90821 854 0
FY ice 261 47125 3115
MY ice 0 8088 15422
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 90567 921 0
FY ice 515 47121 3178
MY ice 0 8025 15359

Date: 2018-01-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 90634 790 0
FY ice 535 47075 3034
MY ice 0 8161 15656
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 90308 916 0
FY ice 861 46914 3109
MY ice 0 8196 15581

Date: 2018-01-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 90937 577 0
FY ice 689 46916 3052
MY ice 0 8437 15275
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 90531 704 0
FY ice 1095 46674 3098
MY ice 0 8552 15229


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