Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
American sector
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - American sector

Bulletin date: 2017-10-19

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2017-10-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 23829 1125 0
FY ice 82 6980 71
MY ice 0 1847 8253
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-10-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 22589 1623 0
FY ice 38 6833 344
MY ice 0 1685 10163
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-10-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 21640 1945 0
FY ice 19 6494 779
MY ice 0 1084 11495
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-10-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 20713 1776 0
FY ice 71 6987 1029
MY ice 0 1204 11672
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 20707 1782 0
FY ice 77 6878 1120
MY ice 0 1307 11581

Date: 2017-10-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 19945 1944 0
FY ice 188 7400 999
MY ice 0 1187 11993
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 19921 1909 0
FY ice 212 7325 1087
MY ice 0 1297 11905

Date: 2017-10-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 19476 1725 0
FY ice 65 7985 899
MY ice 0 1591 11760
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 19359 1872 0
FY ice 182 7751 1005
MY ice 0 1678 11654

Date: 2017-10-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 19177 1835 0
FY ice 54 8501 838
MY ice 0 1644 11837
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 19097 2128 0
FY ice 134 8072 909
MY ice 0 1780 11766

Date: 2017-10-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 18010 1909 0
FY ice 56 9509 888
MY ice 0 1657 11758
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 17974 2383 0
FY ice 92 8830 857
MY ice 0 1862 11789


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