Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2017-10-19

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2017-10-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 135290 4136 0
FY ice 136 15826 2344
MY ice 0 2229 15207
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-10-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 133778 4293 2
FY ice 207 14630 5889
MY ice 0 1981 19027
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-10-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 131969 3769 4
FY ice 126 14922 8064
MY ice 0 1205 20532
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-10-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 129530 3560 10
FY ice 155 16667 9030
MY ice 0 1298 20562
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 129436 3501 11
FY ice 249 16601 8735
MY ice 0 1423 20856

Date: 2017-10-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 127548 3742 16
FY ice 309 18818 9063
MY ice 0 1288 20593
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 127469 3743 15
FY ice 388 18700 8714
MY ice 0 1405 20943

Date: 2017-10-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 126468 3087 13
FY ice 70 20092 9176
MY ice 0 1691 20207
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 126199 3018 15
FY ice 339 20066 8849
MY ice 0 1786 20532

Date: 2017-10-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 125195 3702 4
FY ice 64 21695 8933
MY ice 0 1773 20125
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 125008 3611 10
FY ice 251 21603 8850
MY ice 0 1956 20202

Date: 2017-10-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 123285 3472 0
FY ice 86 23556 8914
MY ice 0 1786 20064
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 123153 3894 7
FY ice 218 22905 8883
MY ice 0 2015 20088


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