Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
American sector
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - American sector

Bulletin date: 2017-10-12

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2017-10-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 26229 505 0
FY ice 145 5585 44
MY ice 0 2578 5683
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-10-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 25277 1117 0
FY ice 37 6235 102
MY ice 0 2314 6495
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-10-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 24653 863 0
FY ice 28 6636 75
MY ice 0 2098 6105
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-10-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 23842 1319 0
FY ice 38 6942 23
MY ice 0 2113 6315
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 23833 1177 0
FY ice 47 7010 24
MY ice 0 2187 6314

Date: 2017-10-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 23231 1339 0
FY ice 92 6832 149
MY ice 0 1830 8924
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 23219 1214 0
FY ice 104 6858 173
MY ice 0 1929 8900

Date: 2017-10-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 22082 1884 0
FY ice 3 6605 572
MY ice 0 1427 10806
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 22012 1552 0
FY ice 73 6822 655
MY ice 0 1542 10723

Date: 2017-10-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 21103 1816 0
FY ice 34 6700 863
MY ice 0 1160 11650
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 21064 1693 0
FY ice 73 6681 993
MY ice 0 1302 11520

Date: 2017-10-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 20216 2018 0
FY ice 136 7189 956
MY ice 0 1149 11937
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 20236 2103 0
FY ice 116 6950 1074
MY ice 0 1303 11819


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