Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2017-10-05

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2017-09-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 143534 0 0
FY ice 80 0 0
MY ice 0 0 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-10-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 143135 2039 0
FY ice 136 10830 373
MY ice 0 4378 8493
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-10-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 142517 1747 0
FY ice 81 12110 617
MY ice 0 4241 6857
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-10-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 141672 1947 0
FY ice 331 10990 1599
MY ice 0 3596 10034
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 141677 1960 0
FY ice 326 10749 1387
MY ice 0 3824 10246

Date: 2017-10-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 139866 2855 0
FY ice 88 12325 1302
MY ice 0 3381 11781
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 139851 2912 0
FY ice 103 12051 1141
MY ice 0 3598 11942

Date: 2017-10-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 138122 2863 0
FY ice 47 14012 2123
MY ice 0 2886 12330
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 138075 3748 0
FY ice 94 12810 1963
MY ice 0 3203 12490

Date: 2017-10-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 136992 3297 0
FY ice 69 14456 2024
MY ice 0 2703 12818
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 136793 4190 0
FY ice 268 13286 1963
MY ice 0 2980 12879

Date: 2017-10-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 135290 4136 0
FY ice 136 15826 2344
MY ice 0 2229 15207
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 135030 5280 0
FY ice 396 14435 2229
MY ice 0 2476 15322


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