Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2017-01-19

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2017-01-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 90176 1222 0
FY ice 976 49182 4303
MY ice 0 4302 14890
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-01-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 90261 858 0
FY ice 933 49436 3544
MY ice 0 5184 14369
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-01-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 90585 978 0
FY ice 268 49795 2083
MY ice 0 7045 11633
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-01-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 89619 1195 0
FY ice 736 49743 2234
MY ice 0 7103 10796
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 89622 1230 0
FY ice 733 49840 2307
MY ice 0 6971 10723

Date: 2017-01-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 89072 714 0
FY ice 991 49209 2795
MY ice 0 5944 13285
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 89100 707 0
FY ice 963 49209 2951
MY ice 0 5951 13129

Date: 2017-01-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 81385 957 6
FY ice 208 48486 3173
MY ice 0 5181 14779
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 81151 984 6
FY ice 442 48225 3314
MY ice 0 5415 14638

Date: 2017-01-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 89552 407 0
FY ice 393 47789 3882
MY ice 0 5063 15894
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 89289 516 0
FY ice 656 47486 3958
MY ice 0 5257 15818

Date: 2017-01-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 89148 596 0
FY ice 1163 48161 3446
MY ice 0 4814 15611
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 89009 885 0
FY ice 1302 47611 3577
MY ice 0 5075 15480


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