Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
American sector
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - American sector

Bulletin date: 2016-12-29

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2016-12-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 356 432 0
FY ice 95 23647 1208
MY ice 0 2552 7363
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-12-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 72 397 0
FY ice 34 24094 1254
MY ice 0 2331 7659
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-12-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 6 13 0
FY ice 0 24401 1196
MY ice 0 2429 7986
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-12-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 32 23789 1190
MY ice 0 2478 8366
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 32 23719 1250
MY ice 0 2548 8306

Date: 2016-12-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 39 0
FY ice 0 23441 1205
MY ice 0 2508 8673
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 36 0
FY ice 0 23402 1262
MY ice 0 2550 8616

Date: 2017-01-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 101 60 0
FY ice 1 23435 981
MY ice 0 2754 8527
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 65 46 0
FY ice 37 23377 1086
MY ice 0 2826 8422

Date: 2017-01-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 104 72 0
FY ice 0 23490 831
MY ice 0 2860 8391
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 85 58 0
FY ice 19 23530 950
MY ice 0 2834 8272

Date: 2017-01-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 3 53 0
FY ice 0 23175 1096
MY ice 0 2819 8653
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 3 148 0
FY ice 0 23244 1225
MY ice 0 2655 8524


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