Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
American sector
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - American sector

Bulletin date: 2016-12-22

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2016-12-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 2860 157 0
FY ice 112 22620 1530
MY ice 0 2197 8219
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-12-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 2095 224 0
FY ice 156 22670 1349
MY ice 0 2244 8058
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-12-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 1341 249 0
FY ice 25 22947 1383
MY ice 0 2208 8010
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-12-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 793 334 0
FY ice 52 23516 1215
MY ice 0 2572 7350
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 783 336 0
FY ice 62 23434 1089
MY ice 0 2652 7476

Date: 2016-12-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 83 559 5
FY ice 67 23926 1179
MY ice 0 2432 7338
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 92 564 5
FY ice 58 23839 1087
MY ice 0 2514 7430

Date: 2016-12-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 45 19 0
FY ice 6 24463 1047
MY ice 0 2361 7857
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 51 276 0
FY ice 0 24214 1015
MY ice 0 2353 7889

Date: 2016-12-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 9 0
FY ice 0 24084 1203
MY ice 0 2422 8127
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 111 0
FY ice 0 23964 1172
MY ice 0 2440 8158

Date: 2016-12-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 31 0
FY ice 0 23490 1204
MY ice 0 2378 8796
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 130 0
FY ice 0 23383 1223
MY ice 0 2386 8777


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