Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2016-12-22

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2016-12-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 97367 1083 4
FY ice 288 48538 6033
MY ice 0 3061 14277
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-12-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 96545 870 5
FY ice 516 48706 4199
MY ice 0 3246 13713
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-12-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 96570 800 1
FY ice 810 47978 3730
MY ice 0 4036 12619
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-12-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 96127 1077 0
FY ice 2267 47092 3697
MY ice 0 5062 11687
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 96190 1087 0
FY ice 2204 46940 3628
MY ice 0 5204 11756

Date: 2016-12-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 94660 1179 5
FY ice 3355 45549 4720
MY ice 4 4095 12274
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 94596 1194 5
FY ice 3419 45392 4684
MY ice 4 4237 12310

Date: 2016-12-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 95493 437 0
FY ice 1797 45887 5487
MY ice 2 3339 13790
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 94012 775 0
FY ice 3272 45465 5574
MY ice 8 3423 13703

Date: 2016-12-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 93570 630 1
FY ice 673 47967 5246
MY ice 0 3259 14158
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 92834 764 1
FY ice 1409 47767 5280
MY ice 0 3325 14124

Date: 2016-12-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 92827 554 0
FY ice 637 48334 5442
MY ice 0 3146 14820
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 92263 794 0
FY ice 1201 48055 5535
MY ice 0 3185 14727


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