Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2016-12-08

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2016-12-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 107056 1616 0
FY ice 255 44231 8858
MY ice 0 2140 14686
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-12-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 106567 1205 2
FY ice 472 44092 8928
MY ice 0 2127 14858
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-12-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 106341 1248 1
FY ice 142 45198 7334
MY ice 0 2237 14605
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-12-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 105190 939 73
FY ice 624 45748 7079
MY ice 0 2478 14293
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 105201 895 74
FY ice 613 45640 7199
MY ice 0 2630 14172

Date: 2016-12-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 102579 1245 88
FY ice 379 47155 6739
MY ice 0 3167 13454
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 102586 1167 88
FY ice 372 47073 6986
MY ice 0 3327 13207

Date: 2016-12-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 100956 1434 20
FY ice 171 46909 7970
MY ice 0 2682 14603
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 100631 1558 22
FY ice 496 46726 8123
MY ice 0 2741 14448

Date: 2016-12-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 99131 1127 0
FY ice 326 47519 7509
MY ice 0 2966 14339
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 98886 1189 2
FY ice 571 47447 7900
MY ice 0 2976 13946

Date: 2016-12-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 97367 1083 4
FY ice 288 48538 6033
MY ice 0 3061 14277
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 97196 1217 4
FY ice 459 48360 6599
MY ice 0 3105 13711


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