Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - European sector

Bulletin date: 2016-11-10

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2016-11-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 98403 387 0
FY ice 52 1112 2346
MY ice 0 83 5242
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-11-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 98250 398 0
FY ice 31 1522 1881
MY ice 0 178 4586
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-11-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 98243 357 0
FY ice 177 1428 1679
MY ice 0 169 4305
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-11-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 97579 306 0
FY ice 524 2105 1303
MY ice 0 125 4767
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 97706 320 0
FY ice 397 2086 1352
MY ice 0 130 4718

Date: 2016-11-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 97246 346 0
FY ice 893 2027 1545
MY ice 0 252 4171
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 97321 377 0
FY ice 818 2013 1587
MY ice 0 235 4129

Date: 2016-11-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 97913 402 0
FY ice 19 2404 1168
MY ice 0 191 3820
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 97213 310 0
FY ice 719 2522 1154
MY ice 0 165 3834

Date: 2016-11-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 97819 358 1
FY ice 139 1931 1839
MY ice 0 194 3636
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 96856 162 1
FY ice 1102 2163 1718
MY ice 0 158 3757

Date: 2016-11-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 98205 192 0
FY ice 473 1695 2058
MY ice 0 72 4719
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 96749 104 0
FY ice 1929 1788 1976
MY ice 0 67 4801


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