Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
American sector
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - American sector

Bulletin date: 2016-11-10

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2016-11-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 16213 793 0
FY ice 1065 14349 1546
MY ice 0 769 7908
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-11-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 14631 808 0
FY ice 854 16782 1317
MY ice 0 892 7996
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-11-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 12936 564 0
FY ice 982 18408 1170
MY ice 0 989 7712
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-11-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 11953 318 0
FY ice 898 20133 1188
MY ice 0 1028 7677
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 12027 342 0
FY ice 824 20015 1124
MY ice 0 1122 7741

Date: 2016-11-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 11604 169 0
FY ice 962 20901 890
MY ice 0 1368 7527
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 11607 185 0
FY ice 959 20765 843
MY ice 0 1488 7574

Date: 2016-11-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 11632 334 0
FY ice 253 21532 760
MY ice 0 1409 7680
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 11125 332 0
FY ice 760 21432 738
MY ice 0 1511 7702

Date: 2016-11-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 11033 433 0
FY ice 512 21955 509
MY ice 0 1678 7432
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 10824 599 0
FY ice 721 21738 470
MY ice 0 1729 7471

Date: 2016-11-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 11418 170 0
FY ice 631 21609 828
MY ice 0 1619 7399
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 11218 247 0
FY ice 831 21387 805
MY ice 0 1764 7422


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