Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - European sector

Bulletin date: 2016-10-20

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2016-10-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 98655 262 5
FY ice 6 744 2012
MY ice 0 28 6007
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-10-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 98444 376 30
FY ice 26 680 2434
MY ice 0 45 6077
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-10-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 98304 344 1
FY ice 0 1005 2221
MY ice 0 80 6054
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-10-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 98242 215 1
FY ice 6 716 2071
MY ice 0 22 6145
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 98239 189 1
FY ice 9 738 2115
MY ice 0 26 6101

Date: 2016-10-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 98347 190 22
FY ice 50 708 2601
MY ice 0 34 6110
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 98350 171 18
FY ice 47 718 2656
MY ice 0 43 6059

Date: 2016-10-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 98298 291 0
FY ice 2 1217 2139
MY ice 0 45 6029
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 98280 206 0
FY ice 20 1293 2166
MY ice 0 54 6002

Date: 2016-10-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 98254 346 0
FY ice 4 1417 1020
MY ice 0 171 5373
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 98204 238 0
FY ice 54 1485 991
MY ice 0 211 5402

Date: 2016-10-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 98599 319 0
FY ice 49 1619 1174
MY ice 0 207 5265
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 98352 115 0
FY ice 296 1749 1167
MY ice 0 281 5272


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