Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice type - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2016-10-20

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2016-10-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 15341 101 0
FY ice 754 3335 7572
MY ice 0 13 2034
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-10-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 14649 61 2
FY ice 1213 3411 7742
MY ice 0 0 1986
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-10-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 14663 173 1
FY ice 426 3706 7852
MY ice 0 43 2065
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-10-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 12918 239 2
FY ice 658 4667 8940
MY ice 0 8 1991
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 13033 369 2
FY ice 543 4537 9219
MY ice 0 8 1712

Date: 2016-10-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 12215 54 8
FY ice 1478 5337 8261
MY ice 0 34 1923
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 12362 172 18
FY ice 1331 5222 8515
MY ice 0 31 1659

Date: 2016-10-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 12079 115 0
FY ice 145 7180 7486
MY ice 0 106 1860
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 11269 140 0
FY ice 955 7148 7687
MY ice 0 113 1659

Date: 2016-10-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 10846 167 0
FY ice 761 9718 5321
MY ice 0 109 1576
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 10367 221 0
FY ice 1240 9650 5374
MY ice 0 123 1523

Date: 2016-10-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 10265 454 0
FY ice 623 11184 4300
MY ice 0 253 1222
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 9143 929 0
FY ice 1745 10751 4125
MY ice 0 211 1397


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